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Topic: Estoril vs Marítimo - Primeira Liga Rnd.32 01/05/16 16:00  (Read 105 times)

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    Stats » Primeira Liga Portugal » Estoril vs Marítimo

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      Analysis: Estoril vs Marítimo (01 May 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: April 29 2016, 17:58 »

      Estoril and Marítimo meet at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, in a match for the 32ª round of the Primeira Liga. These teams have tied (1‑1) in the last head‑to‑head for this edition of the league, played on 02‑01‑2016. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the home team, since they have a record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in the last 4 matches. However, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 25‑04‑2015, in a match for the Primeira Liga, they tied (1‑1). The goals of the match were scored by Fernandinho (76' ), for Estoril, and by M. Marega (85' ), for Marítimo. Although this is a match between 8º and 12º of the league table, it’s actually a match between the 6º best in home matches and the 15º best in away matches.

      Analysis of Estoril

      The home team is currently in the 8ª position of the league, with 43 points won, after 12 wins, 7 draws and 12 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Boavista, by (1‑0). In the last match, they tied in an away match against o Vitória Guimarães, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 16 points in away matches, with 15 goals scored and 23 conceded, against 27 points won at their stadium, with 21 goals scored and 14 conceded. For the league, Estoril won 16 points out of 30 possible points, after 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in the last 10 home matches.

      Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in all of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 31 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 17 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

      Estoril comes for this match after an away home draw by 1-1 against Vitoria Guimaraes. The Portuguese Diogo Amado is the main reference of the central area of the home team, once that the midfielder has an enviable technique and an ability to pass above average. The Brazilian Léo Bonatini is the forward of service, once that the centre forward is the best scorer of his team with fifteen goals scored. Note that Gerso Fernandes will be absent because he is suspended.

      Analysis of Marítimo

      The away team is currently in the 12ª position of the league, with 35 points won, after 10 wins, 5 draws and 16 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against o Vitória Guimarães, by (3‑0). In the last match, they lost in a home match against o Arouca, by (1‑2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 12 points in away matches and 23 points at their stadium, with 25 goals scored and 21 goals conceded at home, against 18 goals scored and 36 conceded in away matches. Their last away match for this competition ended in a loss by (3‑1) against o Sporting CP. In the last 10 away league matches Marítimo has a record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses, so they have won 8 points out of 30 possible.

      Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 31 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 19 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

      Maritime comes unmotivated for this match after a home defeat by 1-2 against Arouca. The giant Dyego Sousa is the main reference of the visiting team, being the best scorer with twelve goals scored. Against an opponent like Estoril, it’s foreseeable that Maritime enter the match with some caution. Even so, it won’t be surprising that, strategically, the visiting team "offer" the ball possession to Estoril in order to create danger through quick transitions. Fransérgio will be absent because he is suspended.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario for this match will be the occurrence of some goals. Looking at the home record of Estoril and the away home historic of Maritime, it’s foreseeable a busy match and with some score chances. Note that five of the last seven matches at Estoril stadium ended with Over 2.5.


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