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Topic: Hellas Verona vs Milan - Serie A Rnd.35 25/04/16 16:00  (Read 73 times)

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    Timeline
    Head-to-Head in the last 3 years
    Date   Home   Away
    2015-12-13
    15/16
    Milan 1-1 Verona
    2015-03-07
    14/15
    Milan 2-2 Verona
    2014-10-19
    14/15
    Verona 1-3 Milan
    2014-01-19
    13/14
    Milan 1-0 Verona
    2013-08-24
    13/14
    Verona 2-1 Milan
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    Stats » Serie A Italy » Hellas Verona vs Milan

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    • Posts: 153210
      Analysis: Hellas Verona vs Milan (25 April 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: April 24 2016, 11:13 »

      Hellas Verona and Milan meet at Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, in a match for the 35th round of the Serie A. These teams have tied (1‑1) in the last head‑to‑head for this edition of the league, played on 13‑12‑2015. In 5 head‑to‑heads in the last 3 years, the away team won 2, tied 2 and lost 1. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 20th and 6th of the league table, it’s also a match between the º best team in home matches and the º best in away matches.

      Analysis of Verona

      The home team is currently in the 20th position of the league, with 22 points won, after 3 wins, 13 draws and 18 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against Frosinone, by (1‑2). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Empoli, by (1‑0). Interestingly enough, this is a team that has had better results in away matches than at home, since they have won 10 points in away matches and only at their stadium. For the league, Hellas Verona won 9 points out of 30 possible points, after 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in the last 10 home matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, as 15 of the last 17 for this competition have ended with Over 1,5 goals. They haven't been able to score the first goal. In fact, they have only opened up the score in 7 of the last 34 matches for the Serie A, they have reached half‑time in advantage in 4 of those 7 matches and have held on to the lead in 2. They have conceded the first goal in 25 of their 34 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1. there is 1 period that stands out in the last 17 home matches for this competition: they have suffered 10 of their 28 goals between minutes (61'‑75').

      Verona, despite playing at home, will match an opponent who has been doing a much higher league. It’s important to note that besides the team had lost mostly matches played in these conditions, has sectors that haven’t been working, because their average of goals scored is 1 and suffered is 1.65, that is, a team that usually concedes more goals than scores. The Lantern of the competition has their best time between sixty and the seventy-five minutes of match, when they scored eight goals. The main scorers are the forwards Toni L. and G. Pazzini, both with five goals scored each, followed by the midfielders F. Viviani and P. Wszolek with five assists each. It’s important to recall that the team is in last position and virtually has no more chances to escape from relegation.

      Analysis of Milan

      The away team is currently in the 6th position of the league, with 53 points won, after 14 wins, 11 draws and 9 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Sampdoria, by (0‑1). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Carpi, by (0‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won points in away matches and 32 at their stadium, with 24 goals scored and 16 conceded at home, against 19 goals scored and 19 conceded in away matches. In the last 10 away league matches Milan has a record of 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 14 points out of 30 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (6 out of 17 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 12 of the last 17 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 34 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 12 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

      Milan, despite playing away home this time, will match an opponent who is in the last position of the championship. It’s important to note that Milan alternated mostly between draws and defeats away home followed by victories, that is, they can’t maintain a positive regularity in these conditions. Their average of goals scored is 1.12 and suffered is also 1.12 goals, demonstrating an average level of income in their sectors. Their best time in the championship is in the first fifteen minutes of the second half, a period on which they scored a total of ten goals. The player worth mentioning is the forward C. Bacca with fifteen goals scored followed by the midfielder G. Bonaventura with eight assists. For this match against this weakened opponent, the team must fight for the victory, once that in this final stretch of the Italian Championship, the team has as the main objective the European places, ie, only the victory matters for Milan.

      Betting suggestion:

      For this match, Verona will play at home, however, against the league they lost mostly both at home and away home, being the championship flashlight. On the other hand, Milan is only six points far from the European places and should fight for victory in this match against this weakened opponent. In this way, and before the observed facts in general, it’s likely that even away home Milan will win at least a draw against this opponent.


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