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Topic: Fiorentina vs Juventus - Serie A Rnd.35 24/04/16 19:45  (Read 104 times)

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    Stats » Serie A Italy » Fiorentina vs Juventus

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    • Posts: 151524
      Analysis: Fiorentina vs Juventus (24 April 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: April 23 2016, 14:48 »

      Fiorentina and Juventus face at Stadio Artemio Franchi, in a match for the 35th round of the Serie A. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 13‑12‑2015, Juventus got a home win by (3‑1). The head‑to‑head record at this stadium favours the away team, since in the last 6 head‑to‑heads they won 3, tied 2 and lost 1. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Coppa Italia, on 07‑04‑2015, Juventus won by (0‑3). A. Matri (21' ), R. Pereyra (44' ) and L. Bonucci (59' ) scored the goals of the match for Juventus. Fiorentina registers significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth special attention.

      Analysis of Fiorentina

      After 17 wins, 8 draws and 9 losses, the home team is in the 5th position, havinf won 59 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Udinese by (2‑1), after in the previous match they have won (3‑1) at home, against Sassuolo. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 17 goals scored and 23 conceded; against 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 26 goals scored and 14 conceded. For the league, Fiorentina won 21 points out of 30 possible points, after 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in the last 10 home matches. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 1‑0 (6 out of 17 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, as 16 of the last 17 for this competition have ended with Over 1,5 goals. They have conceded the first goal in 9 of their 34 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1.

      Fiorentina comes unmotivated for this match after the defeat in the Udinese home, and in the last two matches they won only twice. Usually the coach Paulo Sousa plays in 4-2-3-1 privileging the ball possession and attacks through the flanks, mainly the left. Telho or Bernardeschi make up the team's flanks. Josip Ilicic is the best scorer of the team with 13 goals scored. But it must be observed that Fiorentina has some flaws in the air play and on the defensive line, due to the number of players that puts in the attack. For this match the Portuguese coach won’t count on Benalouane, Kalinic, Vecino and Babacar, injured.

      Analysis of Juventus

      The away team is currently in the 1st position of the league, with 82 points won, after 26 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Palermo, by (4‑0). In the last match, they won in a home match against Lazio, by (3‑0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in away matches, with 31 goals scored and 11 conceded; against 14 wins and 1 draw at their stadium, with 31 goals scored and 3 conceded. Their last away match for this competition ended in a win by (1‑2) against Milan.

      In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 12 away matches. Defensive consistency has been one of their best features, as they have only conceded goals in 2 of the last 10 matches, and their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 34 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 10 times but have turned the score around in 5. In the last 17 away matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 4 of their 11 goals between minutes (16'‑30').

      Juventus continue on the path of victories and currently registers 8 consecutive wins in competitive matches. In this match the coach Massimiliano Allegri will act in the usual 3-5-2 privileging ball possession, the supported football and the organized attacks. It must be observed that in some moments of the match the team must low the block and then apply the counterattack. Alex Sandro and Lichtsteiner are the most important players in Juventus’ style of play, once that these players offer plenty of width and depth to the team. Paulo Dybala is the best scorer of the visiting team with 16 goals scored. For this match the coach won’t count on Chiellini, Caceres, Neto, Marchisio and Roberto Pereyra, all injured.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario for this match will be Juventus don’t lose. Despite playing away home Juventus is going through a good stage and enjoys better weapons compared to the opponent of this match, being expectable to add at least one point in this match. To remember that visitors are close to win the Italian title. On the other hand, Fiorentina has shown great volatility in their results and, in this match, most likely they won’t win.


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