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Topic: Borussia M'gladbach vs Hoffenheim - Bundesliga Rnd.31 24/04/16 14:30  (Read 75 times)

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    Stats » Bundesliga Germany » Borussia M'gladbach vs Hoffenheim

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      Analysis: Borussia M'gladbach vs Hoffenheim (24 April 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: April 23 2016, 19:43 »

      Borussia M'gladbach and Hoffenheim meet at Stadion im BORUSSIA‑PARK, in a match for the 31ª round of the Bundesliga. These teams have tied (3‑3) in the last head‑to‑head for this edition of the league, played on 28‑11‑2015. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the home team, since they have a record of 2 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses in the last 4 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 02‑11‑2014, in a match for the Bundesliga, Borussia M'gladbach won by (3‑1). The goals of the match were scored by A. Hahn (12' ) e P. Herrmann (52' e 32' ), for Borussia M'gladbach, and by A. Modeste (30' ), for Hoffenheim. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

      Analysis of M'gladbach

      The home team is currently in the 5ª position of the league, with 45 points won, after 14 wins, 3 draws and 13 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Ingolstadt, by (1‑0). In the last match, they lost in an away match against o Hannover 96, by (2‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in away matches, with 21 goals scored and 32 conceded; against 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 40 goals scored and 19 conceded. In the last 10 home league matches o Borussia M'gladbach has a record of 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, so they have won 25 points out of 30 possible.

      Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 12 of the last 15 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. They have conceded the first goal in 13 of their 30 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1.

      The home team comes unmotivated for this match after an away home defeat, by 2-0 against Hannover. Borussia M'Gladbach uses the left flank, mostly, to create their danger situations, and thus they can take advantage of the depth offered by the lateral defender Wendt. The home team favors the ball possession and progression on the pitch through shorter passes. Note that their greatest value is the use that do of the opportunities that can create. The German Stindl and the Brazilian Raffael are the two forward players of the tactical system used by the home coach, 4-4-2. Borussia M'Gladbach won’t count on Schulz, Domínguez and Mero because they are injured.

      Analysis of Hoffenheim

      The away team is currently in the 13ª position of the league, with 34 points won, after 8 wins, 10 draws and 12 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against o Eintracht Frankfurt, by (0‑2). In the last match, they won in a home match against o Hertha BSC, by (2‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in away matches, with 16 goals scored and 26 conceded; against 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 21 goals scored and 19 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches o Hoffenheim has a record of 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, so they have won 9 points out of 30 possible.

      Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 30 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 13 times and have only turned the score around in 2.

      The visiting team comes motivated for this match after a home win, by 2-1 against Hertha. Unlikely to the "enemy" of this match, the main Hoffenheim’s weapon is the counterattack, once that, whenever possible, they choose to use the left flank to create danger, in order to take advantage of the depth offered by the lateral defender Volland. Thus, the visiting team chooses to keep their lines well close, taking a low block, in order to surprise the "enemy" through quick transitions. Herdling, Bicakcic, Kuranyi, Jin-Su Kim and Schar are in doubt for this match because they are injured.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario for this match will be the occurrence of some goals. Despite the direct confrontation historic to point to a match with many goals, the recent statistics of each team gives a strong probability to the existence of several goals. Thus, it’s expectable that Monchengladbach will try to continue the good league that has done and that will have the best score opportunities.


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