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Topic: Carpi vs Genoa - Serie A Rnd.33 16/04/16 18:00  (Read 58 times)

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    Carpi vs Genoa - Serie A Rnd.33 16/04/16 18:00
    « on: April 15 2016, 05:03 »
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    Head-to-Head in the last 3 years
    Date   Home   Away
    2015-11-29
    15/16
    Genoa 1-2 Carpi



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    Stats » Serie A Italia » Carpi vs Genoa

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    • Posts: 154071
      Analysis: Carpi vs Genoa (16 April 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: April 15 2016, 05:30 »

      Carpi and Genoa meet at Stadio Alberto Braglia, in a match for the 33ª round of the Serie A. Carpi got an away win by (1‑2), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 29‑11‑2015. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 17º and 10º of the league table, it’s also a match between the 18º best team in home matches and the 18º best in away matches.

      Analysis of Carpi

      After 6 wins, 10 draws and 16 losses, the home team is in the 17ª position, havinf won 28 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Chievo by (1‑0), after in the previous match they have lost (1‑3) at home, against Sassuolo. This is a team that usually plays better at home, where they have won 17 points, against only 11 points in away matches. For the league, Carpi won 12 points out of 30 possible points, after 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the last 10 home matches.

      In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (6 out of 16 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. They haven't been able to score the first goal. In fact, they have only opened up the score in 7 of the last 32 matches for the Serie A, they have reached half‑time in advantage in 4 of those 7 matches and have held on to the lead in 5. They have conceded the first goal in 19 of their 32 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1. There are 1 periods that stand out in the last 16 home matches for this competition: they have scored 6 of their 17 goals between minutes (61'‑75').

      Carpi heads into this match with low motivation after a 1-0 loss away from home against Chievo. Their biggest quality is how they can create scoring chances with ease, however, most of these chances don't get scored on, as they have difficulties in finishing. Being one of the weaker teams, they usually lower their lines, as a way to not let their opponents create plays. Nigerian player Mbakogu is the main offensive reference on the team. Bubnjic and Gnahore won't be able to play, due to injuries.

      Analysis of Genoa

      The away team is currently in the 10ª position of the league, with 40 points won, after 11 wins, 7 draws and 14 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against o Frosinone, by (4‑0). In the last match, they won in an away match against o Sassuolo, by (0‑1). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since they have won 10 points in away matches and at their stadium, with 25 goals scored and 14 conceded at home, against 12 goals scored and 23 conceded in away matches. In the last 10 away league matches o Genoa has a record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses, so they have won 8 points out of 30 possible.

      In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (6 out of 16 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 12 of the last 16 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 32 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 16 times and have only turned the score around in 3. In the last 16 away matches for this competition there are 1 periods that stand out: they have scored 5 of their 12 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

      Genoa heads into this match motivated after a win away from home, 1-0 against Sassuolo. Dzemaili score the only goal in the 42nd minute. They will be without Ezequiel Munoz, suspended. Their main weakness is how they defend against offensive free kicks. Genoa creates a lot of scoring chances, but fail to score on most of them. When they go forward, they usually use the right wing, with the objective to use right back Ansaldi. Burdisso, Pandev and Perin are questionable for this match, as they are hurt.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most probable scenario for this match will be Genoa to not win. In addition to being at home and with the support of their fans, Carpi will face a team that has a terrible road record. Genoa has lost 4 of the last 5 matches away from home.


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