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Topic: Porto vs Nacional - Primeira Liga Rnd.30 17/04/16 21:30  (Read 110 times)

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    Stats » Primeira Liga Portugal » Porto vs Nacional

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      Analysis: Porto vs Nacional (17 April 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: April 15 2016, 12:23 »

      Porto and Nacional face at Estádio Do Dragão, in a match for the 30ª round of the Primeira Liga Teste. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 14‑12‑2015, Porto got an away win by (1‑2). At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the home team, since they have a record of 3 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses in the last 4 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 01‑11‑2014, in a match for the Primeira Liga Teste, Porto won by (2‑0). The goals of the match were scored by Y. Brahimi (74' ) e Danilo (9' ) for Porto. Although this is a match between 3º and 9º of the league table, it’s actually a match between the 3º best in home matches and the 16º best in away matches.

      Analysis of Porto

      The home team is currently in the 3ª position of the league, with 61 points won, after 19 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against Tondela, by (0‑1). In the last match, they lost in an away match against o Paços de Ferreira, by (1‑0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since they have won 29 points in away matches, with 27 goals scored and 15 conceded, against 32 points won at their stadium, with 26 goals scored and 10 conceded. For the league, Porto won 20 points out of 30 possible points, after 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the last 10 home matches.

      There are a few recurrent results in their home league matches at half‑time: 0‑0 (5 out of 14 matches) and 1‑0 (5 out of 14 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 29 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 11 times, but have turned the score around in 4.

      FC Porto comes unmotivated for this match after the defeat in the field of Paços de Ferreira, registering the second consecutive defeat for the championship. So, the big goal of ''Dragons'' will win every match until the end of the championship and return confidence to the fans. In this home match, the coach José Peseiro must act in the usual 4-2-3-1 privileging the ball possession and organized attacks, including through the flanks. Corona is a very fast player with great technical; however, he is in bad shape. It’s important to emphasize that the coach should bet again on Suk up front instead of Aboubakar. The Cameroon remains the best scorer of the team with 12 goals scored. For this match the coach won’t count Brahimi, punished, and Evandro, Marcano, André André and Bueno, injured.

      Analysis of Nacional

      The away team is currently in the 9ª position of the league, with 37 points won, after 10 wins, 7 draws and 12 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against o Marítimo, by (2‑0). In the last match, they won in a home match against o Estoril, by (4‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 10 points in away matches and 27 at their stadium, with 27 goals scored and 21 conceded at home, against 10 goals scored and 21 conceded in away matches. In the last 10 away league matches Nacional has a record of 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 10 points out of 30 possible.

      In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (5 out of 14 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 29 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 15 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 14 away matches for this competition there are 1 periods that stand out: they have conceded 8 of their 21 goals between minutes (46'‑60').

      National Madeira comes for this match with a huge victory against Estoril, adding the fifth win in the last six matches. In this match it’s foreseeable that the coach Manuel Machado will play in the usual 4-3-3, but using a more defensive strategy, risking only on the counterattack. It’s important to emphasize that the visiting team has great quality in counterattack. Agra and Witi are very fast and expert in the ball transport. Tiquinho Soares is the best scorer of the team with 9 goals. For this match the coach won’t count on Román and Willyan, injured.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario for this match will be the existence of several goals. We believe that FC Porto will dominate much of the match and enjoy the best chances; however, the Madeira National quick transitions can leave in trouble the home team’s defense. On the other hand, both teams don’t have a solid defensive sector, making with a bet in favor of the goals or both teams score is of great value.


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