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Topic: León vs América - Liga MX Apertura - Quarter-finals 29/11/15 02:06  (Read 88 times)

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    Stats » Liga MX Mexico » León vs América

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    • Posts: 151419
      Analysis: León vs América (29 November 2015)
      « Reply #1 on: November 28 2015, 18:33 »

      León and América meet at Estadio León (Nou Camp), in a 2nd leg match for the Liga MX (Apertura ‑ Quarter‑finals). América got a home win by (4‑1) in the previous 1st leg match. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the home team, since they have a record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in the last 5 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 30‑09‑2015, in a match for the Liga MX, León won by (3‑0). The goals of the match were scored by M. Boselli (24' ), J. Vázquez (38' ) and L. Montes (60' ) for León. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

      Analysis of León

      The home team comes to this 2nd leg match with a disadvantage of 3 goals, but with the advantage of having scored 1 away goals in the 1st leg. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 losses in away matches, with 24 goals scored and 37 conceded; against 12 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses at their stadium, with 37 goals scored and 15 conceded. For the league, León won 21 points out of 24 possible points, after 7 wins and 1 loss in the last 8 home matches. In their home matches there are a few frequent results: at half‑time 2‑0 (3 out of 8 matches) and after the 90' 2‑1 (3 out of 8 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 7 of the last 8 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 18 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 11 times, but have turned the score around in 4.

      After a very agitated first leg and with arbitration mistakes, one of the main matters of the Leon's bathhouse couldn't be other. 
      Now, the team will have to adopt a very offensive attitude to reverse the result. 
      So, it's probable that they choose to use the 4-3-3 attacking approach to recuperate from the disadvantage. 

      Analysis of América

      The away team comes to this 2nd leg match with an advantage of 3 goals, but has suffered 1 goal at home in the 1st leg. This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in away matches, with 29 goals scored and 20 conceded; against 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses at their stadium, with 24 goals scored and 17 conceded. In the last 9 away league matches América has a record of 6 wins and 3 losses, so they have won 18 points out of 27 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 9 of the last 9 matches for this competition have ended with Over 1,5 goals. In 18 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 6 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

      During the week, both the players as the coach have answered the journalists in a clearly and restrained way: "We won't think that the result of the first match solved the matter.".
      To this match, Sambueza, that has been in doubt, will be present in the initial eleven. 
      Paolo Goltz that was also in doubt should play in the beginning.

      Betting suggestion:

      This match have conditions to clearly overcome the over, because the home team have to do all that they can to win with some margin, after the loss of the first leg. 
      Furthermore, América. the visiting team, don't know how to play in a defensive approach. So, it's foreseen an open match, full of goals. 


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      Stats » Liga MX » León vs América