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Topic: Valencia vs Sevilla - Primera División Rnd.32 10/04/16 16:00  (Read 86 times)

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    Stats » Primera División España » Valencia vs Sevilla

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      Analysis: Valencia vs Sevilla (10 April 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: April 09 2016, 07:36 »

      Valencia and Sevilla face at Estadio de Mestalla, in a match for the 32ª round of the Primeira Divisão. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 29‑11‑2015, Sevilla got a home win by (1‑0). The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 6 head‑to‑heads they won 5, tied 0 and lost 1. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Primeira Divisão, on 25‑01‑2015, Valencia won by (3‑1). Javi Fuego (56' ) e Dani Parejo (32' e 18' ) scored for Valencia and C. Bacca (36' ) for Sevilla. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 15º and 7º of the league table, it’s also a match between the 16º best team in home matches and the 17º best in away matches.

      Analysis of Valencia

      After 8 wins, 10 draws and 13 losses, the home team is in the 15ª position, havinf won 34 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Las Palmas by (2‑1), after in the previous match they have lost (0‑2) at home, against Celta de Vigo. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since they have won 15 points in away matches, with 15 goals scored and 19 conceded, against 19 points won at their stadium, with 19 goals scored and 19 conceded. For the league, Valencia won 8 points out of 30 possible points, after 1 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in the last 10 home matches.

      In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (7 out of 15 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 31 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 20 times and have only turned the score around in 2.

      Valencia heads into this match with low motivation after a 2-1 loss away from home against Las Palmas. Joao Cancelo, Bakkali, Cheryshev, Jose Gaya and Enzo Perez are questionable for this match due to injuries. They usually play in a 4-3-3 formation, prioritising attacks through the wings, in the form of quick transitions. Dani Parejo is the brain of the team, as he is the player responsible for creating attacking plays. They will need this win to stay clear of relegation.

      Analysis of Sevilla

      The away team is currently in the 7ª position of the league, with 48 points won, after 13 wins, 9 draws and 9 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against o Real Madrid, by (4‑0). In the last match, they lost in a home match against a Real Sociedad, by (1‑2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 9 points in away matches and 39 at their stadium, with 34 goals scored and 16 conceded at home, against 10 goals scored and 21 conceded in away matches. In their last match, for the UEFA Europa League, they got an away win against o Athletic Club by (1‑2). In the last 10 away league matches o Sevilla has a record of 0 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 6 points out of 30 possible.

      In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 15 away matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 10 of the last 15 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 31 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 11 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

      The visitors like to have a lot of players in their midfield in their attacking plays, with the objective to create plays through the center of the pitch. Still, they are good at counter attacks through the wings and use it anytime they can. One of their biggest strengths is scoring from offensive free kicks. Their coach will be without Andreolli, as he is hurt.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most probable scenario for this match will for Valencia to win. Sure, they haven't been performing very well at home, however, they will face an opponent that hasn't recorded a win away from home in the last 8 matches, with 3 losses. So Valencia should take advantage of their opponents having some added fatigue from their Europa League match and win the 3 points in this match.

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