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Topic: Swansea City vs Chelsea - Premier League Rnd.33 09/04/16 15:00  (Read 88 times)

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    Stats » Premier League England » Swansea City vs Chelsea

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      Analysis: Swansea City vs Chelsea (09 April 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: April 06 2016, 20:05 »

      Swansea City and Chelsea meet at Liberty Stadium, in a match for the 33ª round of the Premier League. These teams have tied (2‑2) in the last head‑to‑head for this edition of the league, played on 08‑08‑2015. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the away team, since they have a record of 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in the last 5 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 17‑01‑2015, in a match for the Premier League, Chelsea won by (0‑5). The goals of the match were scored by Diego Costa (20' e 34' ), Oscar (1' e 36' ) e A. Schürrle (79' ) for Chelsea. The home advantage may play an important role in this match , since Swansea City presents significant differences between home and away results.

      Analysis of Swansea

      After 9 wins, 10 draws and 13 losses, the home team is in the 15ª position, havinf won 37 points so far. In the last match, they have tied in an away match against Stoke City by (2‑2), after in the previous match they have won (1‑0) at home, against Aston Villa. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in away matches, with 17 goals scored and 24 conceded; against 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 13 goals scored and 18 conceded. For the league, Swansea City won 15 points out of 30 possible points, after 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in the last 10 home matches.

      In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (7 out of 16 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. 10 of their last 16 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals, so there is a tendency for few goals in their home matches. They have conceded the first goal in 18 of their 32 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 3.

      Swansea comes for this match after an away home draw, by 2-2, against Stoke. The main gap of the home team is the defensive dead balls. Note that Swansea proves ineffective in the finishing, once that wastes most danger opportunities that can create. In any case, they’re a team that can secure a positive result, because when they’re winning they’re able to defend very well that advantage. It’s foreseeable that Swansea will attack, preferably, through the left flank, taking advantage of the depth offered by the lateral Naughton.

      Analysis of Chelsea

      The away team is currently in the 10ª position of the league, with 44 points won, after 11 wins, 11 draws and 9 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against o West Ham United, by (2‑2). In the last match, they won in an away match against o Aston Villa, by (0‑4). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 24 goals scored and 11 conceded; against 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 32 goals scored and 18 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches o Chelsea has a record of 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 18 points out of 30 possible.

      Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 10 of the last 15 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 31 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 12 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

      Chelsea comes motivated for this match after an away home triumph by 0-4, against Aston Villa. Loftus-Cheek, Alexandre Pato and Pedro scored the goals of victory. Alexandre Pato will be the most offensive reference of the visiting team, and Diego Costa won’t be able to align by suspension. Fabregas will be the player with more freedom on the pitch, using his passing skills to create difficulties on the opponent’s defense. It’s foreseeable that midfield will be composed by Loftus-Cheek, Fàbregas and Obi Mikel, and the Spanish will be the forward of the middle line. Terry, Cahill, Hazard, Rémy and Zouma won’t be able to contribute to their team because they’re injured.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario for this match will be both teams score at least one goal. Both teams show good offensive arguments, and it’s important to note that in six of the last seven home matches, Swansea scored at least one goal. It’s foreseeable that Chelsea will also be able to score at least one goal in this match.


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