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Topic: Caen vs Lorient - Ligue 1 Rnd.33 09/04/16 19:00  (Read 78 times)

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    Caen vs Lorient - Ligue 1 Rnd.33 09/04/16 19:00
    « on: April 06 2016, 05:03 »
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    Timeline
    Head-to-Head in the last 3 years
    Date   Home   Away
    2015-09-23
    15/16
    Lorient 2-0 Caen
    2015-07-25
    2015
    Lorient 0-0 Caen
    2015-03-14
    14/15
    Lorient 2-1 Caen
    2014-10-25
    14/15
    Caen 2-1 Lorient
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    Stats » Ligue 1 France » Caen vs Lorient

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    • Posts: 151571
      Analysis: Caen vs Lorient (09 April 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: April 08 2016, 17:51 »

      Caen and Lorient meet at Stade Michel d'Ornano, in a match for the 33ª round of the Ligue 1. Lorient got a home win by (2‑0), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 23‑09‑2015. The head‑to‑head record between these two teams couldn't be more balanced, since there were 1 draws and 2 wins for each team in the last 5 head‑to‑heads. Lorient registers significant differences between home and away results, so special attention is due to the home/away factor.

      Analysis of Caen

      The home team is currently in the 8ª position of the league, with 46 points won, after 14 wins, 4 draws and 14 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Troyes, by (2‑1). In the last match, they lost in an away match against o Toulouse, by (2‑0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses in away matches; against 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses at their stadium. For the league, Caen won 14 points out of 30 possible points, after 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the last 10 home matches.

      The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 0‑0 (6 out of 16 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 19 of their 32 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 2. There are 1 periods that stand out in the last 16 home matches for this competition: they have scored 7 of their 17 goals between minutes (61'‑75').

      Caen heads into this match with low motivation after a 2-0 loss away from home against Toulouse. They usually like to keep a low line, and try to use counter attacks. However, in some matches, they maintain ball possession in their opponent's half. Their main flaw is when opponents attack through the middle of the field, as they concede goals with ease in this condition. Youssef, Louis, Alhadhur, Bessat, Ntibazonkiza and VOlsin won't be able to play, due to injuries.

      Analysis of Lorient

      The away team is currently in the 14ª position of the league, with 39 points won, after 9 wins, 12 draws and 11 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against o Angers, by (5‑1). In the last match, they lost in a home match against o Olympique Lyonnais, by (1‑3). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 19 goals scored and 26 conceded; against 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 26 goals scored and 18 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches o Lorient has a record of 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, so they have won 9 points out of 30 possible.

      Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 11 of the last 16 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 32 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 18 times and have only turned the score around in 4.

      Lorient is a team that shows a couple of flaws, especially when it comes to their defense, as they concede a lot of goals. On the other hand, their offense compensates, scoring a high number of goals. It is expected for them to use a 4-4-2 formation, trying to hide defensive flaws. Jeannot and Waris are the two forwards on the team. They usually perform very well when they are behind on the scoreboard. Raphael Guerreiro, Karamoko, Moukandjo, Fofana and Lautooa won't be able to play, due to injuries.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most probable scenario for this match is Caen to win. They haven't performed very well, however, they have the opportunity to motivate themselves in this round, as they are facing a rather weak team. So we expect Caen to leave this match with 3 points.


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