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Topic: Athletic Club vs Sevilla - UEFA Europa League Quarter-finals 07/04/16 20:05  (Read 111 times)

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    Stats » UEFA Europa League Europe » Athletic Club vs Sevilla

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      Analysis: Athletic Club vs Sevilla (07 April 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: April 05 2016, 11:09 »

      Athletic Bilbao and Sevilla face at San Mamés Barria, in a match for this stage of the Liga Europa (Quartos de final). The head‑to‑head history of the last 3 years favours the home team, since in the last 8 matches they won 4, tied 1 and lost 3. The last head‑to‑head between these two teams was played on 09‑01‑2016, and ended in a (2‑0) win by Sevilla. Sevilla registers significant differences between home and away results, so special attention is due to the home/away factor.

      Analysis of Athletic Club

      The home team comes to this stage of the Liga Europa (Quartos de final) after having played in the previous rounds against: Valencia e Olympique Marseille. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses in away matches; against 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses at their stadium. In their last match, for the Primera División, they got a home tie against Granada by (1‑1). In the last 7 Liga Europa home matches o Athletic Bilbao has a record of 5 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses.

      They haven’t lost any of the last 7 home matches for this competition. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in all of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 14 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 5 times and have only turned the score around in 1. There are 1 periods that stand out in the last 20 home matches for all competitions: they have suffered 8 of their 20 goals between minutes (16'‑30').

      Athletic Bilbao comes unmotivated for this match after the home draw against Granada, adding the third consecutive match without a win. In this match the coach Ernesto Valverde must act in the usual 4-2-3-1 privileging the ball possession and organized attacks. In some moments of the match the team must focus on the defensive organization and counterattacks. It’s important to recall that Aduriz remains at the top of the best scorers of the team with 31 goals scored this season. For this match the coach won’t count on Sabin Merino, Undabarrene, Laporte and Saborit, injured.

      Analysis of Sevilla

      The away team comes to this stage of the Liga Europa (Quartos de final) after havinf played in the previous rounds against: Basel e Molde. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 17 goals scored and 16 conceded; against 14 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses at their stadium, with 37 goals scored and 6 conceded. In their last match, for the Primera División, they got a home loss against a Real Sociedad by (1‑2). In the last 10 away matches Sevilla has won 1, tied 6 and lost 3.

      Defensive consistency has been one of their best features, as they have only conceded goals in 1 of the last 4 matches for this competition. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 4 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

      Like his opponent, Sevilla is going through a very bad time of the season, and this time no longer wins for two consecutive matches. In this match the team led by Unai Emery must act like the last matches, ie 4-2-3-1, with Gameiro being the forward player of the home team, the French has 22 scored goals this season. It’s important to recall that the team has great expertise in the offensive and defensive dead balls, on the counterattack and in the air play. For this match the coach won’t count on Andreolli, injured, and still has Diogo Figueiras and Sedge in doubt.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario for this match will be the existence of few goals. We believe that the teams will dominate in different parts of the match; however, with some difficulties in dismantling the opponent’s defensive web. In addition, it’s expectable that Sevilla will act more defensively in order to take decisions for their land, thus reducing significantly the likelihood of scoring. So, it’s foreseeable a very disputed match and without a lot of goals on the final scoreboard.


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