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Topic: Aston Villa vs Watford - Premier League Rnd.14 28/11/15 15:00  (Read 124 times)

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    Stats » Premier League England » Aston Villa vs Watford

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    • Posts: 153276
      Analysis: Aston Villa vs Watford (28 November 2015)
      « Reply #1 on: November 25 2015, 16:57 »

      Aston Villa and Watford face at Villa Park, in a match for the 14th round of the Premier League. There is no recent record of official head‑to‑heads between these two teams. The last head‑to‑head was played on 20‑01‑2007 and ended with the final score: Aston Villa (2‑0) Watford. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

      Analysis of Aston Villa

      The home team is currently in the 20th position of the league, with 5 points won, after 1 win, 2 draws and 10 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against Manchester City, by (0‑0). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Everton, by (4‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in away matches, with 19 goals scored and 38 conceded; against 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses at their stadium, with 17 goals scored and 20 conceded. In the last 6 home league matches Aston Villa has a record of 2 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 2 points out of 18 possible.

      In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 6 home matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 12 of the last 28 have ended ended with Under 1,5 goals. This is a team that has had a hard time trying to score first. They have opened up the score in only 3 of the last 13 matches for the Premier League, they have reached half‑time in front in 1 of those 3 matches and have held on to the lead in 1. In 13 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

      Aston Villa are passing through big difficulties in this season, and neither the hiring of the new coach Rémi Garde improved the performance of the team. 
      In this match the french coach will choose the usual 4-3-3 approach, but giving emphasis to the attack football. 
      To note that the best scorers of Aston Villa are Scott Sinclair and Rudy Gestede, both with 10 goals in total.

      Analysis of Watford

      The away team is currently in the 13th position of the league, with 16 points won, after 4 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Leicester City, by (2‑1). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Manchester United, by (1‑2). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 27 goals scored and 15 conceded; against 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 16 goals scored and 10 conceded. In the last 6 away league matches Watford has a record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 8 points out of 18 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 25 of the last 28 matches have ended with Over 1,5 goals. In 13 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 6 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

      Watford come to this match with two consecutive defeats to the english championship, however, by few goals. Both the defeats by 2-1 against Manchester United and Leicester City. 
      In this match, the Quique Flores' team have an unique opportunity to get back to the victories, once they match the last from the championship. 
      Watford have all the team available and  count on the good Ighalo's shape to win against Aston Villa. This nigerian has already scored 7 goals in this season. 

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario to this match will be Watford don't lose. Looking to the last exhibitions of both teams it's be expected that the visiting team have more initiative in the match and they create more danger to the opponent.
      In contrast, it's foreseen that the home team choose a more defensive approach to conquer, at least, one point.


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