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Topic: Bayern München vs Benfica - UEFA Champions League Quarter-finals 05/04/16 19:45  (Read 93 times)

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    Stats » UEFA Champions League Europe » Bayern München vs Benfica

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    • Posts: 153297
      Analysis: Bayern München vs Benfica (05 April 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: April 03 2016, 12:58 »

      Bayern de Munique and Benfica face at Allianz‑Arena, in a match for this stage of the Liga dos Campeões (Quartos de final). These two teams have never met before, so this will be the first head‑to‑head between them. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, since Benfica presents significant differences between home and away performances.

      Analysis of Bayern München

      The home team comes to this stage of the Liga dos Campeões (Quartos de final) after having eliminated Juventus with a home win by (4‑2), after extended time, and a away draw by (2‑2) in the previous round. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in away matches, with 24 goals scored and 11 conceded; against 13 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses at their stadium, with 46 goals scored and 7 conceded. In their last match, for the Bundesliga, they got a home win against Eintracht Frankfurt by (1‑0). In the last 4 Liga dos Campeões home matches o Bayern de Munique has a record of 4 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses.

      In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 4 home matches. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 8 matches for this competition. This is a team that likes to score first. They have opened up the score in 6 of the last 8 matches for the Liga dos Campeões, they have reached half‑time in front in 4 of those 6 matches and have held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in 5 of them. There are 1 periods that stand out in the last 20 home matches for all competitions: they have suffered 4 of their 9 goals between minutes (16'‑30').

      One of the top teams in world football, Bayern Munich, is doing a very strong campaign this season and in these quarter finals of UEFA Champions League comes strengthened after showing great determination to overcome Juventus in overtime. For this Tuesday match, the main goal is to win with the greatest possible advantage and, for that the coach Pep Guardiola won’t count on Medhi Benatia, Arjen Robben, Holger Badstuber and Jerome Boateng, injured.

      Analysis of Benfica

      The away team comes to this stage of the Liga dos Campeões (Quartos de final) after a away win by (1‑2) and a home win by (1‑0) against Zenit. This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 13 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in away matches, with 38 goals scored and 10 conceded; against 12 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 37 goals scored and 12 conceded. In their last match, for the Primeira Liga, they got a home win against o Sporting Braga by (5‑1). In the last 4 Liga dos Campeões away matches Benfica has a record of 2 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses.

      Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 6 of the last 8 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 8 matches for this competition. In 8 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 4 times but have turned the score around in 2.

      After starting a little uneven season by coach changing, Benfica comes in a very good growing stage and featuring a top-level football. The current moment of the team is excellent and, for this match in Germany the team will seek to return home without conceding goals and scoring as many goals as possible. For this, the coach Rui Vitória should have the absences of Julius Caesar, Lisandro Lopez, Nuno Santos and Luisão, injured.

      Betting suggestion:

      With a technically superior team than the opponent at this point of the competition, and to be playing at home, the home team figure as favorite to win the match. The trend is to confirm that favoritism on the pitch and win the match. In addition, for being a very offensive team the tendency is to have many goals. So, a bet on Bayern win and over 2.5 goals seems of great value.


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      Stats » UEFA Champions League » Bayern München vs Benfica