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Topic: Porto vs Tondela - Primeira Liga Rnd.28 04/04/16 19:00  (Read 80 times)

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    Head-to-Head in the last 3 years
    Date   Home   Away
    2015-11-28
    15/16
    Tondela 0-1 Porto



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    Stats » Primeira Liga Portugal » Porto vs Tondela

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    • Posts: 151567
      Analysis: Porto vs Tondela (04 April 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: April 03 2016, 16:17 »

      Porto and Tondela meet at Estádio Do Dragão, in a match for the 28ª round of the Primeira Liga. Porto got an away win by (0‑1), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 28‑11‑2015. Tondela registers significant differences between home and away results, so special attention is due to the home/away factor.

      Analysis of Porto

      After 19 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, the home team is in the 3ª position, havinf won 61 points so far. In the last match, they have won in an away match against Vitória Setúbal by (0‑1), after in the previous match they have won (3‑2) at home, against União Madeira. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 21 goals scored and 15 conceded; against 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 25 goals scored and 15 conceded. In the last 10 home league matches o Porto has a record of 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses, so they have won 23 points out of 30 possible.

      The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 1‑0 (5 out of 13 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 27 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times, but have turned the score around in 4.

      Porto comes motivated for this match after an away home triumph, by 0-1, against Vitoria de Setubal. Sergio Oliveira, after 45 minutes, scored the only goal of the match. The home team is aware of this match opponent’s lack of quality, that is, it’s likely that Porto will choose to go with a good rhythm since the beginning, in order to solve the match in the first minutes. It’s foreseeable that the chosen "arrows" by blue and white coach for this match will be Brahimi and Corona. Aboubakar will be called to be the main attack reference of the visiting team.

      Analysis of Tondela

      The away team is currently in the 18ª position of the league, with 14 points won, after 3 wins, 5 draws and 19 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against o Benfica, by (4‑1). In the last match, they tied in a home match against o Belenenses, by (2‑2). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses in away matches, with 17 goals scored and 28 conceded; against 1 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses at their stadium, with 11 goals scored and 25 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Tondela has a record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses, so they have won 8 points out of 30 possible.

      Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. This is a team that has had a hard time trying to score first. They have opened up the score in only 5 of the last 27 matches for the Primeira Liga, they have reached half‑time in front in 2 of those 5 matches and have held on to the lead in 1. In 27 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 22 times and have only turned the score around in 2.

      Tondela comes for this match after a home draw, by 2-2, against Belenenses. It should be noted that the visiting team is going through a terrible moment, once that shows in every match many difficulties in both cases. Murillo is the player most capable to unbalance in attack, while his best feature is the dribble speed. Note that, Nathan Junior and Romário Baldé have as main function to support the centre forward in the offensive attacks of their team. Bruno Monteiro and Kaka won’t be able to contribute to their team because they’re suspended.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario for this match will be Porto to be winning at the halftime. Despite Porto performances don’t be amazing, the team, as a rule, get good performances in the first half, as they did in the last match. That is, it’s foreseeable that the players of José Peseiro will come for this match with well-defined objectives, looking for the goal since the first minute. So, it’s expectable that Porto will address their fans with the three points in this match.


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