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Topic: Atalanta vs Milan - Serie A Rnd.31 03/04/16 14:00  (Read 124 times)

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    Atalanta vs Milan - Serie A Rnd.31 03/04/16 14:00
    « on: March 31 2016, 05:03 »
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    Timeline
    Head-to-Head in the last 3 years
    Date   Home   Away
    2015-11-07
    15/16
    Milan 0-0 Atalanta
    2015-05-30
    14/15
    Atalanta 1-3 Milan
    2015-01-18
    14/15
    Milan 0-1 Atalanta
    2014-05-11
    13/14
    Atalanta 2-1 Milan
    2014-01-06
    13/14
    Milan 3-0 Atalanta
    2013-01-27
    12/13
    Atalanta 0-1 Milan
    2012-09-15
    12/13
    Milan 0-1 Atalanta
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    Stats » Serie A Italy » Atalanta vs Milan

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    • Posts: 154022
      Analysis: Atalanta vs Milan (03 April 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: April 01 2016, 20:32 »

      Atalanta and Milan face at Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia, in a match for the 31ª round of the Série A. In the last head‑to‑head for this edition of the league, played on 07‑11‑2015, these teams have tied (0‑0). The head‑to‑head record at this stadium favours the away team, since in the last 4 head‑to‑heads they won 3, tied 0 and lost 1. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Série A, on 30‑05‑2015, Milan won by (1‑3). D. Baselli (21' ) scored for Atalanta and G. Pazzini (36' ) e G. Bonaventura (38' e 80' ) for Milan. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 14º and 6º of the league table, it’s also a match between the 11º best team in home matches and the 10º best in away matches.

      Analysis of Atalanta

      After 8 wins, 9 draws and 13 losses, the home team is in the 14ª position, havinf won 33 points so far. In the last match, they have won at home against Bologna by (2‑0), after in the previous match they have lost (2‑0) an away match against Lazio. This is a team that usually plays better at home, where they have won 22 points, against only 11 points in away matches. In the last 10 home league matches o Atalanta has a record of 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, so they have won 9 points out of 30 possible.

      The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 0‑0 (6 out of 15 matches). They have conceded the first goal in 14 of their 30 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1. There are 1 periods that stand out in the last 15 home matches for this competition: they have suffered 8 of their 16 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

      Atalanta heads into this match after a home win against Bologna, their first win after 13 matches without wins. They usually play in a 4-2-3-1 formation, prioritising a low line and long balls towards attack. They like to play through the left wing, using Alejandro Gomez, a quick and an important player in this kind of transition. They show difficulties in scoring goals, in the defensive transition and against free kicks. For this match, they will be without Carmona and Brivio, who are both hurt.

      Analysis of Milan

      The away team is currently in the 6ª position of the league, with 49 points won, after 13 wins, 10 draws and 7 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against o Chievo, by (0‑0). In the last match, they tied in a home match against a Lazio, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 18 points in away matches and 31 points at their stadium, with 23 goals scored and 14 goals conceded at home, against 17 goals scored and 17 conceded in away matches. In the last 10 away league matches Milan has a record of 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 14 points out of 30 possible.

      Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 11 of the last 15 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 30 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 12 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

      AC Milan heads into this match after a home draw, against Lazio. This was their third consecutive match without a win. They usually like to play in a 4-4-2 formation prioritising ball possession and organized attacks, especially through the left wing, using Honda, an important player wwwith a lot of technique. Carlos Bacca is the top scorer on the team with 14 goals. For this match, they will be without Kucka and M'Baye Niand, both injured.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most probable scenario for this match is for a small number of goals being scored. We expect Milan to have more initiative due to having a more quality squad, however, Atalanta will stay very defensive, making it hard for the opposition to score. So we believe that since both teams have had issues scoring, this match will finish with a small number of goals.


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