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Topic: Patronato vs River Plate - Primera División Rnd.9 03/04/16 00:00  (Read 151 times)

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    Stats » Primera División Argentina » Patronato vs River Plate

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      Analysis: Patronato vs River Plate (03 April 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: April 01 2016, 04:30 »

      Patronato and River Plate meet at Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella, in a match for the 9ª round of the Primeira Divisão. The only recent head‑to‑head between these two teams was played on 16‑06‑2012, and ended in a (1‑0) win by Patronato. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

      Analysis of Patronato

      After 2 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, the home team is in the 10ª position, havinf won 9 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Independiente by (2‑1), after in the previous match they have won (1‑0) at home, against Rosario Central. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in away matches; against 11 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses at their stadium. For the league, Patronato won 8 points out of 12 possible points, after 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in the last 4 home matches.

      They haven’t lost any of the last 4 home matches for this competition. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 6 of the last 8 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 8 matches for this competition.

      Patronato heads into this match with low motivation after a 2-1 loss away from home, against Independiente. They usually play in a 4-3-3 formation, where the 3 forwards are Telechea, Matias Quiroga and Carrasco. Patronato has a lot of issues in scoring goals, as the 3 best scorer on the team have only 2 goals each. Jonathan Marcelo, who used to play for Rosario Central is the head of the defense, as he has a remarkable height.

      Analysis of River Plate

      The away team is currently in the 9ª position of the league, with 9 points won, after 2 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against o Colón, by (4‑1). In the last match, they tied in a home match against o Banfield, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 22 goals scored and 21 conceded; against 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 17 goals scored and 16 conceded. In the last 10 away matches River Plate has won 3, tied 3 and lost 4.

      Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 6 of the last 8 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 8 matches for this competition.

      River Plate heads into this matchup after a home draw, 1-1 against Banfield. They usually play in a 4-4-2 formation, prioritising organization in the midfield and the two forwards are Alario and Mora. Argentinian youngster Martinez is the player responsible for running their midfield and creating attacking plays. They like to progress through short passes, prioritising ball possession.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most probable scenario for this challenge is for River Plate not to win. Besides playing away from home, they show a bad record. They currently have 5 consecutive matches without a win. Patronato has been undefeated for 17 matches when playing at home, as their last loss was in June of 2015.


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