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Topic: Mainz 05 vs Augsburg - Bundesliga Rnd.28 02/04/16 14:30  (Read 74 times)

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    Stats » Bundesliga Germany » Mainz 05 vs Augsburg

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      Analysis: Mainz 05 vs Augsburg (02 April 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: March 30 2016, 16:53 »

      Mainz 05 and Augsburg meet at Coface Arena, in a match for the 28ª round of the Bundesliga. These teams have tied (3‑3) in the last head‑to‑head for this edition of the league, played on 31‑10‑2015. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 4 head‑to‑heads they won 3, tied 0 and lost 1. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Bundesliga, on 18‑10‑2014, Mainz 05 won by (2‑1). Jairo Samperio (23' ) e J. Hofmann (20' ) scored for Mainz 05 and T. Werner (78' ) for Augsburg. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 7º and 15º of the league table, it’s also a match between the 7º best team in home matches and the 10º best in away matches.

      Analysis of Mainz 05

      The home team is currently in the 7ª position of the league, with 41 points won, after 12 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Borussia Dortmund, by (2‑0). In the last match, they tied in an away match against o Werder Bremen, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since they have won 18 points in away matches, with 18 goals scored and 20 conceded, against 23 points won at their stadium, with 17 goals scored and 13 conceded. For the league, Mainz 05 won 17 points out of 30 possible points, after 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 10 home matches.

      They haven’t lost any of the last 7 home matches for this competition. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 27 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 10 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 13 home matches for this competition there are 1 periods that stand out: they have conceded 5 of their 13 goals between minutes (61'‑75').

      Mainz heads into this match after a draw away from home, 1-1 against Werder Bremen. They have a lot of quality when it comes to quick transitions, as they usually use the right wing, using right back Donati. One of their biggest weaknesses is headers. Despite having good offensive qualities, Mainz usually likes to play in their own field, trying to take advantage of their opponent`s mistakes. Jairo Samperio won't play due to a suspension.

      Analysis of Augsburg

      The away team is currently in the 15ª position of the league, with 27 points won, after 6 wins, 9 draws and 12 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against o Darmstadt 98, by (2‑2). In the last match, they lost in a home match against o Borussia Dortmund, by (1‑3). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since they have won 16 points in away matches and 11 at their stadium, with 16 goals scored and 24 goals conceded at home, against 17 goals scored and 19 goals conceded in away matches. In the last 10 away league matches o Augsburg has a record of 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 15 points out of 30 possible.

      Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 27 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 12 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 13 away matches for this competition there are 1 periods that stand out: they have conceded 7 of their 19 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

      Augsburg heads into this match with low motivation after a 3-1 home win, against Dortmund. They are a defensive team, that likes to maintain a low line as a way to try and take advantage of counter attacks. They are also a team that likes to go forward through the right wing, using Verhaegh. They have difficulties scoring goals as the best scorer on the team is defensive back Verhaegh, with 6 goals. Callsen-Bracker and Raphael Framberger are out due to injuries.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most probable scenario for this match is Mainz to win. They will be playing at home and have the best team. Augsburg is close to entering the relegation zone and in the last 6 home matches, Mainz has 5 wins.


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