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Topic: Real Madrid vs Sevilla - Primera División Rnd.30 20/03/16 19:30  (Read 106 times)

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    Stats » Primera División Spain » Real Madrid vs Sevilla

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      Analysis: Real Madrid vs Sevilla (20 March 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: March 18 2016, 20:25 »

      Real Madrid and Sevilla meet at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, in a match for the 30ª round of the Primeira Divisão. Sevilla got a home win by (3‑2), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 08‑11‑2015. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 4 head‑to‑heads they won 4, tied 0 and lost 0. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Primeira Divisão, on 04‑02‑2015, Real Madrid won by (2‑1). Jesé (36' ) e J. Rodríguez (12' ) scored for Real Madrid and Iago Aspas (80' ) for Sevilla. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 3º and 5º of the league table, it’s also a match between the 3º best team in home matches and the 16º best in away matches.

      Analysis of Real Madrid

      After 19 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses, the home team is in the 3ª position, havinf won 63 points so far. In the last match, they have won in an away match against Las Palmas by (1‑2), after in the previous match they have won (7‑1) at home, against Celta de Vigo. This is a team that maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since they have had similar results in both conditions. In the last 10 home league matches o Real Madrid has a record of 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 24 points out of 30 possible.

      Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 12 of the last 15 for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. They have been able to score first and have done so in 23 of the last 29 matches for the Primeira Divisão, they have reached half‑time in advantage in 20 of those 23 matches and have held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in 19 of them. They have conceded the first goal in 4 of their 29 matches for this competition, and have never been able to turn the score around.

      Real Madrid heads into his matchup with high motivation after a tough win against Las Palmas, making it their 4th consecutive win in this competition. For this match, coach Zinedine Zidane will play in their usual 4-3-3 formation, with Benzema the offensive reference as he is back and can now be in the starting eleven. Cristiano Ronaldo is still the best scorer on the team with 27 goals. However, they have been showing a lot of difficulties in the offense-defense transition and against opponent's free kicks. For this match Pepe and Sergio Ramos won't play due to a suspension.

      Analysis of Sevilla

      The away team is currently in the 5ª position of the league, with 48 points won, after 13 wins, 9 draws and 7 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against o Getafe, by (1‑1). In the last match, they won in a home match against o Villarreal, by (4‑2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 9 points in away matches and 39 points at their stadium, with 33 goals scored and 14 goals conceded at home, against 10 goals scored and 17 conceded in away matches. In their last match, for the UEFA Europa League, they got a home win against o Basel by (3‑0). In the last 10 away league matches Sevilla has a record of 0 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 6 points out of 30 possible.

      In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 14 away matches. In their away matches there are a few frequent results: at half‑time 0‑0 (5 out of 14 matches) and after the 90' 1‑1 (5 out of 14 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 10 of the last 14 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 29 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

      Sevilla heads into this match after a win at home against Villarreal, making it their third consecutive game without a loss. So they should play in similar form, in a 4-2-3-1 formation, with Gameiro the forward, as he is the top scorer on the team with 13 goals. The team led by Unai Emery shows a lot of quality in free kicks (in the defense and in the offense), in counter attacks and crosses. For this match Banega is suspended, in addition to Krychowiak, Andreolli, Vitolo, Konoplyanka and Nzonzi, who are all hurt.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most probable scenario for this match is for a couple of goals being scored. We believe Real Madrid will dominate most of the game and have the best scoring opportunities because of their high quality squad. Besides, both teams show great offensive quality, so we should see an open game with a lot of scoring chances.


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      Stats » Primera División » Real Madrid vs Sevilla