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Topic: Villarreal vs Barcelona - Primera División Rnd.30 20/03/16 15:00  (Read 98 times)

Offline Estatísticas

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    Stats » Primera División Spain » Villarreal vs Barcelona

    Offline Academia

    • Posts: 151933
      Analysis: Villarreal vs Barcelona (20 March 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: March 17 2016, 19:10 »

      Villarreal and Barcelona face at Camp El Madrigal, in a match for the 30ª round of the Primeira Divisão. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 08‑11‑2015, Barcelona got a home win by (3‑0). At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the away team, since they have a record of 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses in the last 5 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 04‑03‑2015, in a match for the Taça do Rei, Barcelona won by (1‑3). The goals of the match were scored by J. dos Santos (39' ), for Villarreal, and by L. Suárez (73' ) e Neymar (3' e 88' ), for Barcelona. The home advantage may play an important role in this match , since Villarreal presents significant differences between home and away results.

      Analysis of Villarreal

      After 15 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses, the home team is in the 4ª position, havinf won 53 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Sevilla by (4‑2), after in the previous match they have lost (0‑1) at home, against Las Palmas. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in away matches; against 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses at their stadium. In their last match, for the UEFA Europa League, they got an away tie against Bayer Leverkusen by (0‑0). In the last 10 home league matches o Villarreal has a record of 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses, so they have won 23 points out of 30 possible.

      In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 1‑0 (6 out of 15 matches). Defensive consistency has been one of their best features, as they have only conceded goals in 3 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 7 of the last 15 matches for this competition have ended ended with Under 1,5 goals. In 29 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 10 times and have only turned the score around in 2. There are 1 periods that stand out in the last 15 home matches for this competition: they have suffered 3 of their 8 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

      They usually create attacking plays from the right wing, looking for their right back Mario Gaspar. Despite being a team that likes to play in the middle of the field, they enjoy using counter attacks as a way to go forward. In the defensive end, they are very aggressive, conceding small amount of spaces to opponents. Musacchio, Jaume Costa, Samu and Jonathan dos Santos won't be able to play due to injuries.

      Analysis of Barcelona

      The away team is currently in the 1ª position of the league, with 75 points won, after 24 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against o Eibar, by (0‑4). In the last match, they won in a home match against o Getafe, by (6‑0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 11 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses in away matches, with 34 goals scored and 8 conceded; against 14 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses at their stadium, with 62 goals scored and 9 conceded. In their last match, for the UEFA Champions League, they got a home win against o Arsenal by (3‑1). In the last 10 away league matches Barcelona has a record of 8 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, so they have won 26 points out of 30 possible.

      In this competition, they have a sequence of 6 wins in the last away matches and they haven't lost any of the last 10 away matches. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (5 out of 14 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 12 of the last 14 matches for this competition have ended with Over 1,5 goals. In 29 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 7 times but have turned the score around in 5. In the last 14 away matches for this competition there are 1 periods that stand out: they have conceded 5 of their 12 goals between minutes (46'‑60').

      Barcelona heads into this match motivated after a win at home, 3-1 against Arsenal, in a game for the UEFA Champions League. The only players unavailable are Rafinha and Sandro, who are hurt.Still, despite these unavailable players, they come into this game with almost full strength. They are a team that can also create scoring opportunities with a lot of ease. Their offensive trio of Messi, Suarez and Neymar is one of the most feared in the world, so they will probably score a few times.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most probable scenario for this matchup is Barcelona to win. Villarreal is a quality team, but they will be facing one of the best teams in the world. So we expect a tough match for the home team, despite playing with the support of their fans.


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