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Topic: Augsburg vs Borussia Dortmund - Bundesliga Rnd.27 20/03/16 16:30  (Read 75 times)

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    Stats » Bundesliga Germany » Augsburg vs Borussia Dortmund

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      Analysis: Augsburg vs Borussia Dortmund (20 March 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: March 19 2016, 13:52 »

      Augsburg and Borussia Dortmund face at WWK Arena, in a match for the 27ª round of the Bundesliga. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 25‑10‑2015, Borussia Dortmund got a home win by (5‑1). The head‑to‑head record at this stadium favours the away team, since in the last 5 head‑to‑heads they won 4, tied 1 and lost 0. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Taça DFB, on 16‑12‑2015, Borussia Dortmund won by (0‑2). P. Aubameyang (61' ) e H. Mkhitaryan (66' ) scored the goals of the match for Borussia Dortmund. Augsburg registers significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth special attention.

      Analysis of Augsburg

      The home team is currently in the 13ª position of the league, with 27 points won, after 6 wins, 9 draws and 11 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against Bayer Leverkusen, by (3‑3). In the last match, they tied in an away match against o Darmstadt 98, by (2‑2). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 22 goals scored and 14 conceded; against 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses at their stadium, with 20 goals scored and 25 conceded. For the league, Augsburg won 8 points out of 30 possible points, after 1 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in the last 10 home matches.

      The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 0‑0 (5 out of 13 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 12 of their 26 matches for this competition, and have never been able to turn the score around.

      Augsburg comes for this match after an away home draw, by 2-2, against Darmstadt. The home team is a more defensive team that likes to keep very low block in order to surprise the opponent on the counterattack. Note that the home team chooses to attack through the right side, taking advantage of the depth offered by the lateral defender Verhaegh. Augsburg presents many difficulties in finalizing, and the best scorer of the team is the defender Verhaegh with six scored goals. Callsen-Bracker and Raphael Framberger won’t be able to contribute to their team because they’re injured.

      Analysis of Dortmund

      The away team is currently in the 2ª position of the league, with 61 points won, after 19 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against o Bayern München, by (0‑0). In the last match, they won in a home match against o Mainz 05, by (2‑0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in away matches, with 31 goals scored and 10 conceded; against 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses at their stadium, with 42 goals scored and 10 conceded. In their last match, for the UEFA Europa League, they got an away win against o Tottenham Hotspur by (1‑2). Their last away match for this competition ended in a win by (0‑2) against o Darmstadt 98. In the last 10 away league matches Borussia Dortmund has a record of 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 19 points out of 30 possible.

      In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑1 (5 out of 13 matches). Defensive consistency has been one of their best features, as they have only conceded goals in 3 of the last 10 matches, and their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 26 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 7 times but have turned the score around in 3.

      Unlikely to the "enemy" of this match, Dortmund is an extremely offensive team looking for the goal since the beginning until the end of the match. Their most offensive feature is the quick transitions, once that they have extremely fast and very creative players. The Armenian Mkhitaryan is the player responsible for leading and defining the offensive process of his team. It should be noted how Dortmund defends the dead ball situations, once that rarely suffers goals through this situation. Despite being a strong team on the counterattack, the visiting team usually dominates the match in the opponent’s midfield, progressing on the pitch through short passes.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario for this match will be Dortmund win. Despite the home record of Augsburg to be slight interesting, the historic of the visiting team away home, counting for the Bundesliga, is remarkable. Note that Dortmund won four of the last six away home matches, counting for the first German division. So, it’s foreseeable that outsiders will put all their superiority on the pitch, since the first minute.


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