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Topic: Belenenses vs Lech Poznań - UEFA Europa League Group I Rnd.5 26/11/15 18:00  (Read 142 times)

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    Date   Home   Away
    2015-09-17
    15/16
    Lech 0-0 Belenenses



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    Stats » UEFA Europa League Europe » Belenenses vs Lech Poznań

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      Analysis: Belenenses vs Lech Poznań (26 November 2015)
      « Reply #1 on: November 24 2015, 15:50 »

      Belenenses and Lech Poznań meet at Estádio do Restelo, in a match for this stage of the UEFA Europa League (Group Stage). Belenenses registers significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth special attention.

      Analysis of Belenenses

      The home team is currently in the 4th position, with 4 points won, after 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses. In the penultimate round, they have won an away match against Basel by (1‑2). In the last round, they have lost a home match against Basel by (0‑2). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 17 goals scored and 23 conceded; against 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 15 goals scored and 19 conceded. They come to this match after a away loss against Portimonense by (3‑2). Belenenses registers 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses in the last 4 home matches for the UEFA Europa League. They haven't been able to score the first goal. In fact, they have only opened up the score in 2 of the last 8 matches for the UEFA Europa League, they have reached half‑time in advantage in all of those 2 matches and held on to the lead until the end of the match in all of them.

      Belenenses comes to this match motivated after a 3-2 away win against Portimonense, in a match for the Portuguese Cup. Luís Leal is the main offensive reference of the team and Sturgeon and Kuca are the main suppliers of the striker. Tiago Silva also stands out in the midfield and is responsible for creating most of the team’s offensive plays.

      Analysis of Lech

      The away team is currently in the 3rd position, with 4 points won, after 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses. In the penultimate round, they have won an away match against Fiorentina by (1‑2). In the last round, they have lost a home match against Fiorentina by (0‑2). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses in away matches, with 16 goals scored and 18 conceded; against 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 16 goals scored and 14 conceded. In their last match, for the Ekstraklasa, they got an away win against Pogoń Szczecin by (0‑2). In the last 10 away matches Lech Poznań has won 5, tied 1 and lost 4. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 6 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

      Lech comes to this match motivated after a 0-2 away win against Pogon Szczecin, in a match for the Polish league. However, the away team presents a few problems in all processes. In this competition they have played in a 4-4-2 formation, to maintain defensive balance and disguise its flaws. In stopped ball situations, the main reference is Finish forward Kasper Hamalainen, the best scorer of the team.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario is that Lech won’t win, since Belenenses has the home advantage and seems to have better arguments. Although the Portuguese team hasn’t done all that well so far, this is their best opportunity yet to get a good result, so they should take advantage of that.


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      Stats » UEFA Europa League » Belenenses vs Lech