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Topic: Swansea City vs Aston Villa - Premier League Rnd.31 19/03/16 17:30  (Read 96 times)

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    Stats » Premier League England » Swansea City vs Aston Villa

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      Analysis: Swansea City vs Aston Villa (19 March 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: March 16 2016, 19:19 »

      Swansea City and Aston Villa meet at Liberty Stadium, in a match for the 31ª round of the Premier League. Swansea City got an away win by (1‑2), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 24‑10‑2015. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the home team, since they have a record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in the last 4 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 26‑12‑2014, in a match for the Premier League, Swansea City won by (1‑0). The only goal of the match was scored by G. Sigurðsson (13' ). In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

      Analysis of Swansea

      After 8 wins, 9 draws and 13 losses, the home team is in the 16ª position, havinf won 33 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against AFC Bournemouth by (3‑2), after in the previous match they have won (1‑0) at home, against Norwich City. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses in away matches; against 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses at their stadium. In the last 10 home league matches o Swansea City has a record of 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 12 points out of 30 possible.

      In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (6 out of 15 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 7 of the last 15 for this competition have ended ended with Under 1,5 goals. In 30 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 17 times and have only turned the score around in 3.

      Swansea comes for this match after an away home defeat against Bournemouth; however, it should be recalled that the team has two consecutive victories, one against Arsenal. Usually the home team plays in 4-2-3-1 privileging the ball possession and organized attacks, mainly, through the right flank. However, Swansea has some difficulties in the defensive dead balls, in the air play, but above all on finishing. Sigurdsson remains on the list of the best scorers in the league with nine scored goals. For this match the coach Alan Curtis won’t count on André Ayew and Montero, both recovering from injury.

      Analysis of Aston Villa

      The away team is currently in the 20ª position of the league, with 16 points won, after 3 wins, 7 draws and 20 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against o Manchester City, by (4‑0). In the last match, they lost in a home match against o Tottenham Hotspur, by (0‑2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 0 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in away matches, with 11 goals scored and 33 conceded; against 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses at their stadium, with 12 goals scored and 25 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches o Aston Villa has a record of 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses, so they have won 3 points out of 30 possible.

      In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 14 away matches. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (6 out of 15 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 13 of the last 15 matches for this competition have ended with Over 1,5 goals. This is a team that has had a hard time trying to score first. They have opened up the score in only 6 of the last 30 matches for the Premier League, they have reached half‑time in front in 3 of those 6 matches and have held on to the lead in 3. In 30 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 22 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 15 away matches for this competition there are 1 periods that stand out: they have scored 6 of their 11 goals between minutes (61'‑75').

      Aston Villa continues their difficult fight against relegation and, this time adds five consecutive defeats in the league. Usually the visiting team has a very direct style of play, with long passes to the attack without much discretion, targeting the opponent's team, most of the time, with shots from long distance. However, the team led by Rémi Garde displays several weaknesses at the level of finishing, defensive dead balls and defensive organization. Gestede and Ayew remain the best scorers of the team with 5 scored goals. For this match the coach won’t count on Adama Traoré, Sanchez, Kozak, Agbonlahor, Amavi and Grealish, all recovering from injury.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario for this match will be the existence of slight goals. Apparently, this will be a very tight match and with few score chances, once that both teams have serious weaknesses in the offensive sector. However, as Swansea is going through a better moment and enjoys better weapons, it’s expectable that they’ll have more initiative in the match.


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      Stats » Premier League » Swansea vs Aston Villa