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Topic: Lazio vs Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk - UEFA Europa League Group G Rnd.5 26/11/15 18:00  (Read 172 times)

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    Dnipro 1-1 Lazio


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    Stats » UEFA Europa League Europe » Lazio vs Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk

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      Analysis: Lazio vs Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk (26 November 2015)
      « Reply #1 on: November 24 2015, 14:49 »

      Lazio and Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk face at Stadio Olimpico, in a match for this stage of the UEFA Europa League (Group Stage). Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

      Analysis of Lazio

      After 3 wins and 1 draw, the home team is currently in the 1st position, with 10 points won. In the last match, they have won (0‑2) in an away match against Rosenborg, after in the previous round they have won (3‑1) at home against Rosenborg. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in away matches, with 14 goals scored and 31 conceded; against 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses at their stadium, with 35 goals scored and 14 conceded. In their last match, for the Serie A, they got a home tie against Palermo by (1‑1). In the last 10 home matches Lazio has won 8, tied 1 and lost 1.

      They haven’t lost any of the last 4 matches for this competition. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 3 of the last 4 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 4 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 23 of the last 27 matches have ended with Over 1,5 goals. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have only turned the score around in 2. there is 1 period that stands out in the last 11 home matches for all competitions: they have scored 7 of their 20 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

      After the last away win, they have confirmed their great form moment and therefore wish to maintain this good level in the Europa League, with a home win against Dnipro. Coach Stefano Pioli cannot count on Keita, suspended after a red card in the last match. Pioli has had to deal with a few hard issues, like his problems with Candreva, so there are internal problems to work out. In the Europa League the team has done well, but in the Italian league results have been disappointing.

      Lazio has been preparing this match behind closed doors, but there will be at least one obvious change, the already mentioned absence of Keita. Pioli has made quite a few changes to the team this season, but that is unlikely to affect the team negatively. They have done well so far in this competition and are likely to keep up the good moment. Moreover, Klose, a forward of well proven quality, is once again available.

      Analysis of Dnipro

      The away team is currently in the 3rd position, with 4 points won, after 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses. In the penultimate round, they have lost a home match agaisnt Saint‑Étienne by (0‑1). In the last round, they have lost an away match against Saint‑Étienne by (3‑0). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss in away matches, with 30 goals scored and 9 conceded; against 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses at their stadium, with 25 goals scored and 22 conceded. In their last match, for the Premier League, they got an away tie against Chornomorets by (0‑0). In the last 10 away matches Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk has won 7, tied 2 and lost 1. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 3 of the last 4 matches for this competition.

      Without many expectations, Dnipro travels to Italy to try to do well against Lazio, since they are aware that a good result would be crucial for their qualification chances. Unlike Lazio, Dnipro has done well in the national league so far, only behind two other teams. Moreover, they have been more stable in their strategy and formation, so they are likely to use the usual 4-2-3-1, or a more modern 4-5-1. However, given the importance of this match, Myron Markevych try to make a few changes to surprise the Italians, particularly since Rotan, the captain, is suspended.

      Betting suggestion:

      Lazio has a far superior squad and is therefore the favourite. The home team players are of a superior technical quality and they also have the home advantage, so the tendency is that they will win the match, so the bet in favour of the Italians seems to be of great value.

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      Stats » UEFA Europa League » Lazio vs Dnipro