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Topic: Olympique Marseille vs Rennes - Ligue 1 Rnd.31 18/03/16 19:30  (Read 91 times)

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    Stats » Ligue 1 France » Olympique Marseille vs Rennes

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      Analysis: Olympique Marseille vs Rennes (18 March 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: March 15 2016, 20:54 »

      Olympique Marseille and Rennes face at Stade Vélodrome, in a match for the 31ª round of the Ligue 1. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 03‑12‑2015, Olympique Marseille got an away win by (0‑1). At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history indicates total balance between these two teams, since there is a record of 0 draws and 2 wins for each team in the last 4 matches. However, the last time these teams met at this stadium was on 20‑09‑2014, in a match for the Ligue 1, Olympique Marseille won by (3‑0). The goals of the match were scored by R. Alessandrini (90' ) e A. Gignac (63' e 50' ) for Olympique Marseille. Although this is a match between 10º and 5º of the league table, it’s actually a match between the 19º best in home matches and the 3º best in away matches.

      Analysis of Marseille

      After 8 wins, 15 draws and 7 losses, the home team is in the 10ª position, havinf won 39 points so far. In the last match, they have tied in an away match against Lorient by (1‑1), after in the previous match they have tied (1‑1) an away match against Gazélec Ajaccio. Interestingly enough, this is a team that has had better results in away matches than at home, since they have won 24 points in away matches and only 15 at their stadium. In the last 10 home league matches o Olympique Marseille has a record of 0 wins, 8 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 8 points out of 30 possible.

      In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 12 home matches. The most recurrent final score in their home league matches was the 1‑1 (6 out of 15 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 14 of their 30 matches for this competition, and have never been able to turn the score around.

      Marselha head into this match after a draw away from home, 1-1 against Lorient. Coach Michel won't be able to play with Alessandrini and Diarra, who are both hurt. Forward Batshuayi is the best scorer on the team, with 13 goals, as his strongest weapon is speed and getting open. They like to play in an organized fashion, progressing the field through short passes.

      Analysis of Rennes

      The away team is currently in the 5ª position of the league, with 45 points won, after 11 wins, 12 draws and 7 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against o Nantes, by (4‑1). In the last match, they tied in a home match against o Olympique Lyonnais, by (2‑2). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since they have won 24 points in away matches and 21 at their stadium, with 20 goals scored and 18 goals conceded at home, against 22 goals scored and 18 goals conceded in away matches. Their last away match for this competition ended in a win by (1‑2) against o Toulouse. In the last 10 away league matches Rennes has a record of 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 16 points out of 30 possible.

      Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 14 of the last 15 matches for this competition have ended with Over 1,5 goals. In 30 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 16 times and have only turned the score around in 3. In the last 15 away matches for this competition there are 1 periods that stand out: they have scored 8 of their 22 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

      Rennes heads into this match after a draw at home, against Lyon. Sylvain Armand is the player responsible for organizing the defense, the veteran defensive back, despite not being very tall, is an important player in the team. One of the main characteristics this home team has, is persistency when they are behin on the scoreboard. It is likely that the home team will use the left wing, trying to use left back Zeffane. For this match, they will be without M'Bengue, Ntep, Mexer and Cavare, who are all hurt.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most probable scenario for this match is Marselha not to win. Sure, they are playing at home, with the support of their fans, however, they are facing a tough recent form at home, as they have zero wins in the last 5 matches. Rennes is a team that has been showing some consistency, as they are in 5th place in Ligue 1.


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