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Topic: Bayern München vs Juventus - UEFA Champions League 8th Finals 16/03/16 19:45  (Read 99 times)

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    Timeline
    Head-to-Head in the last 3 years
    Date   Home   Away
    2016-02-23
    15/16
    Juventus 2-2 Bayern München
    2013-04-10
    12/13
    Juventus 0-2 Bayern München
    2013-04-02
    12/13
    Bayern München 2-0 Juventus
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    Stats » UEFA Champions League Europe » Bayern München vs Juventus

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    • Posts: 151612
      Analysis: Bayern München vs Juventus (16 March 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: March 13 2016, 23:02 »

      Bayern de Munique and Juventus face at Allianz‑Arena, in a 2nd leg match for the Liga dos Campeões (Oitavos de final), after a (2‑2) draw in the 1st leg match. The head‑to‑head history of the last 3 years favours the home team, since in the last 3 matches they won 2, tied 1 and lost 0. Bayern de Munique registers significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth special attention.

      Analysis of Bayern München

      The home team comes to this 2nd leg match with the advantage of the away draw by (2‑2), so all they need is a tie for under 2 goals to stay ahead in the aggregate result. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in away matches, with 23 goals scored and 13 conceded; against 14 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses at their stadium, with 50 goals scored and 7 conceded. In their last match, for the Bundesliga, they got a home win against Werder Bremen by (5‑0). In the last 10 home matches o Bayern de Munique has won 9, tied 0 and lost 1.

      Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 6 of the last 7 matches for this competition. In the last 20 home matches for all competitions there are 1 periods that stand out: they have conceded 3 of their 7 goals between minutes (16'‑30').

      Bayern Munich comes for this second match with advantage, after an away home draw in the first match. It’s important to note that even playing away home the team dominated the match until the sixty minutes, once that conquered 68% of the ball possession against 32% by Juventus. Thomas Müller and Arjen Robben scored both a goal each. This is a team that in the three matches that played at home on this competition, won three. Their average of goals scored is 4.67 and suffered is 0.33 goals, that is, both sectors have a large income, offensive and defensive. Their best time in the Champions League is from the fifteen to thirty minutes, when they scored a total of six goals. The highlight is the forward R. Lewandowski with seven goals scored followed by the also forward T. Müller with six goals in total.

      Analysis of Juventus

      The away team comes to this 2nd leg match in disadvantage, since despite the 1st leg draw they have conceded 2 goals at home. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in away matches, with 27 goals scored and 10 conceded; against 13 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses at their stadium, with 27 goals scored and 4 conceded. In their last match, for the Serie A, they got a home win against o Sassuolo by (1‑0). In the last 10 away matches a Juventus has won 8, tied 1 and lost 1.

      Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 5 of the last 7 matches for this competition. This is a team that likes to score first. They have opened up the score in 12 of the last 15 matches, they have reached half‑time in front in 7 of those 12 matches and have always held on to the lead until the end of the 90'.

      Juventus will play away home in this second leg between the teams, which comes with a disadvantage. It’s important to note that in the first leg even playing at home the team was lower in relation to the ball possession. Another fact is that the team could only react after suffered both goals for Bayern Munich. The team was without ball out and down on the own pitch where the technical Massilmiliano Allegrifez made some changes that were effective. Thus, Juventus managed to get a draw with Sturaro and Dybala goal. It’s important to note that the team could even have been able to turn around the match; however, they stopped in the hands of goalkeeper Neuer. Remember that away home in the Champions League, Juventus played a total of three matches, where they won one, drawn one and lost one. Their average of goals scored is 1 and suffered is also 1 goal per match, that is, has an average level of income in both sectors, offensive and defensive. Their best time in the Champions League is the last fifteen minutes of match, when they scored a total of three goals. The highlight are the forwards Alvaro Morata and M.Mandzukic', both with two goals scored each.

      Betting suggestion:

      For this match, Bayern Munich team despite playing at home will have the advantage in their favor. So, they can get a goalless draw or even one to one. Recalling that in addition to winning all three matches played in these conditions this competition, the team has a great offensive and defensive performance at home. On the other hand, Juventus despite the team to present mainly a good defensive performance, they will have to try to get the result away home. Thus, Bayern should play in favor of their advantage, seeking to don’t concede goals and aiming at the right time to score. So, and before the observed facts in general, it’s likely Bayern Munich will win the second leg between the teams.


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