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Topic: Sevilla vs Villarreal - Primera División Rnd.29 13/03/16 15:00  (Read 66 times)

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    Stats » Primera División Spain » Sevilla vs Villarreal

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    • Posts: 151591
      Analysis: Sevilla vs Villarreal (13 March 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: March 11 2016, 01:51 »

      Sevilla and Villarreal meet at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, in a match for the 29ª round of the Primeira Divisão. Villarreal got a home win by (2‑1), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 31‑10‑2015. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the home team, since they have a record of 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses in the last 5 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 19‑03‑2015, in a match for the Liga Europa, Sevilla won by (2‑1). The goals of the match were scored by Denis Suárez (83' ) e Iborra (69' ), for Sevilla, and by G. dos Santos (73' ), for Villarreal. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

      Analysis of Sevilla

      The home team is currently in the 5ª position of the league, with 45 points won, after 12 wins, 9 draws and 7 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Eibar, by (1‑0). In the last match, they tied in an away match against o Getafe, by (1‑1). This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in away matches; against 15 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses at their stadium. In their last match, for the UEFA Europa League, they got an away tie against Basel by (0‑0).

      They have won the last 12 home matches for this competition. Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 9 of their 28 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1.

      In the previous match, Sevilla had a tie against Getafe, making it their second consecutive match without a loss. The squad led by Unay Emery shows a lot of quality in crosses, in their defense and in their offense and in the counter attacks. So the team should play in their usual 4-2-3-1 formation, with Gameiro the lone forward, as he had 19 goals this season. For this match, they will be without Andreolli, who is hurt.

      Analysis of Villarreal

      The away team is currently in the 4ª position of the league, with 53 points won, after 15 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against o Celta de Vigo, by (0‑0). In the last match, they lost in a home match against o Las Palmas, by (0‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in away matches, with 16 goals scored and 20 conceded; against 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 18 goals scored and 4 conceded. In their last match, for the UEFA Europa League, they got a home win against o Bayer Leverkusen by (2‑0). In the last 10 away league matches Villarreal has a record of 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 11 points out of 30 possible.

      In this competition, they have a sequence of 4 draws in the last away matches. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (8 out of 13 matches). Defensive consistency has been one of their best features, as they have only conceded goals in 2 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 9 of the last 13 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 28 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have only turned the score around in 2. In the last 13 away matches for this competition there are 1 periods that stand out: they have scored 4 of their 11 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

      Villareal heads into this game with a low motivation, after two consecutive games without a win, against Celta de Vido and Las Palmas. The team led by Marcelino Toral shows a lot of strong suits, with organized attacks, using the wings to create attacking plays, with Denis Suarez and Samu Castillejo, who are two excellent players in the defense-offense transition. Bakambu and Soldado will be the forward, with the first one being the best scorer with 12 goals. Jaume Costa, Musacchio, Samuel Garcia and Jonathan dos Santos won't be available as their are dealing with injuries.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most probable scenario for this match is a Sevilla win. Despite arriving in this match after a tie, we believe Sevilla playing at home will take advantage of their stronger squad and get back to winning. So we expect Sevilla to win with some difficulties, as they have had difficulties in scoring goals.


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