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Topic: Liverpool vs Chelsea - Premier League Rnd.30 13/03/16 16:00  (Read 78 times)

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    Stats » Premier League England » Liverpool vs Chelsea

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      Analysis: Liverpool vs Chelsea (11 May 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: May 09 2016, 11:53 »

      Liverpool and Chelsea face at Anfield, in a match for the 30ª round of the Premier League. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 31‑10‑2015, Liverpool got an away win by (1‑3). At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the away team, since they have a record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses in the last 5 matches. However, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 20‑01‑2015, in a match for the Taça da Liga they tied (1‑1). The goals of the match were scored by R. Sterling (59' ), for Liverpool, and by E. Hazard (18' ), for Chelsea. Although this is a match between 7º and 10º of the league table, it’s actually a match between the 11º best in home matches and the 8º best in away matches.

      Analysis of Liverpool

      After 12 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses, the home team is in the 7ª position, havinf won 44 points so far. In the last match, they have won in an away match against Crystal Palace by (1‑2), after in the previous match they have won (3‑0) at home, against Manchester City. This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since they have won 24 points in away matches, with 24 goals scored and 20 conceded, against 20 points won at their stadium, with 19 goals scored and 17 conceded. They come to this match after a home win against Manchester United by (2‑0). For the league, Liverpool won 16 points out of 30 possible points, after 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in the last 10 home matches.

      In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (6 out of 13 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 28 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 10 times and have only turned the score around in 2. There are 1 periods that stand out in the last 13 home matches for this competition: they have suffered 6 of their 17 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

      Liverpool this time will match an opponent that is very close in the league table, because what separates the teams is only one position. It’s important to note that playing at home the team mostly alternated between wins and draws, on which presents sectors that work, once that their average of goals scored is 1.78 and suffered is 1.17 goals, demonstrating mainly their offensive sector has functioning in the expected way. But the highlight of the team is the forward Roberto Firmino with ten goals followed by J. Milner midfielder with eleven assists. For this match the team has a list of absences, as D.Origi being, A. Wisdom, J.Henderson, J.Rossiter, D.Ings and J. Gomez, all injured. Note that the team should be very optimistic and confident, once that comes for this match with two wins in a row at home, against Villarreal by 3-0 where with this result they were able to reach the Europe League final and, in their last home match, another victory, this time against the thirteenth placed Watford, where they won by 2-0.

      Analysis of Chelsea

      The away team is currently in the 10ª position of the league, with 40 points won, after 10 wins, 10 draws and 9 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against o Norwich City, by (1‑2). In the last match, they tied in a home match against o Stoke City, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, with 27 goals scored and 22 goals conceded at home, against 16 goals scored and 17 conceded in away matches. In their last match, for the FA Cup, they got an away loss against o Everton by (2‑0). In the last 10 away league matches o Chelsea has a record of 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 15 points out of 30 possible.

      In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 1‑0 (5 out of 14 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 29 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 11 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

      Chelsea despite being just one position below Liverpool is separate from them in ten points on the league table. It’s important to note that playing as a visiting team Chelsea alternated mainly between wins and losses, being a team that scores more goals than suffers because their average of goals scored is 1.44 and suffered goals is 1.22. Their best time is in the last fifteen minutes of match, during which they scored thirteen goals. The highlight of the team is the forward Diego Costa with twelve goals scored followed by Fàbregas midfielder with seven assists. For this match the team won’t count on L.Rémy and K.Zouma, both injured. Note that Chelsea hasn’t won for two matches for the championship, and away home they come after a defeat against the seventeenth placed Sunderland, by 3-2.

      Betting suggestion:

      For this match, Liverpool will play at home, where alternated mainly between wins and draws. Recall that the team comes after two straight wins in these conditions, apart from the fact that they still have a mathematical chance of winning a European place. On the other hand, Chelsea playing away home has alternated their results between wins and losses. The team comes after a loss away home and doesn’t have higher goals in the competition. Thus, it’s likely that Liverpool in front of their fans will win at least a draw in this important match.


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