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Topic: Estoril vs Sporting CP - Primeira Liga Rnd.26 12/03/16 18:30  (Read 127 times)

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    Stats » Primeira Liga Portugal » Estoril vs Sporting CP

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      Analysis: Estoril vs Sporting CP (12 March 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: March 11 2016, 13:01 »

      Estoril and Sporting meet at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, in a match for the 26ª round of the Primeira Liga. Sporting got a home win by (1‑0), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 31‑10‑2015. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 3 head‑to‑heads they won 1, tied 2 and lost 0. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Primeira Liga, on 10‑05‑2015, they tied (1‑1). Sebá (25' ) scored for Estoril and Ewerton (55' ) for Sporting. Estoril registers significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth special attention.

      Analysis of Estoril

      The home team is currently in the 8ª position of the league, with 33 points won, after 9 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Vitória Setúbal, by (3‑0). In the last match, they won in an away match against o Rio Ave, by (1‑3). This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in away matches; against 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses at their stadium. In the last 10 home league matches o Estoril has a record of 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 15 points out of 30 possible.

      Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 14 of their 25 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1.

      Estoril heads into this match with a high motivation, after a win away from home, 3-1 against Rio Ave. Mattheus and Leo Bonatini scored the goals. Diogo Amado is the main reference in this team, as he has great technique and excellent passing skills. Leo Bonatini is the best scorer on the team with 14 goals.

      Analysis of Sporting CP

      The away team is currently in the 2ª position of the league, with 59 points won, after 18 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against o Vitória Guimarães, by (0‑0). In the last match, they lost in a home match against o Benfica, by (0‑1). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 31 goals scored and 15 conceded; against 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 29 goals scored and 13 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Sporting has a record of 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses, so they have won 23 points out of 30 possible.

      In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (5 out of 12 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 5 of the last 12 matches for this competition have ended ended with Under 1,5 goals. In 25 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 5 times but have turned the score around in 2.

      Sporting heads into this matchup with low motivation after a loss at home, 1-0 against Benfica. They should play in their usual 4-4-2 formation with Slimani and Gutierrez the 2 forwards. They are aware how difficult it is to play in this stadium, but they hope that the good form of Joao Mario and Slimani will lead them to the win. Adrien Silva won't be able to play due to a suspension.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most probable scenario for this challenge will be a couple of goals being scored. Looking at Estoril's home record and Sporting's away record, we expect an open match with a lot of goal scoring opportunities. The last 5 matches that Estoril had at home finished with over 2,5 goals.


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