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Topic: Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne - Ligue 1 Rnd.30 12/03/16 19:00  (Read 99 times)

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    Stats » Ligue 1 France » Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne

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      Analysis: Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne (12 March 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: March 09 2016, 22:02 »

      Guingamp and Saint‑Étienne face at Stade du Roudourou, in a match for the 30ª round of the Ligue 1. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 29‑11‑2015, Saint‑Étienne got a home win by (3‑0). The recent head‑to‑head record favours the away team, since they have a record of 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses in the last 5 matches. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

      Analysis of Guingamp

      The home team is currently in the 17ª position of the league, with 32 points won, after 8 wins, 8 draws and 13 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against Angers, by (2‑2). In the last match, they lost in an away match against o Olympique Lyonnais, by (5‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in away matches, with 13 goals scored and 24 conceded; against 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 25 goals scored and 20 conceded. In the last 10 home league matches o Guingamp has a record of 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 13 points out of 30 possible.

      The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 0‑0 (5 out of 14 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 12 of the last 14 matches for this competition have ended with Over 1,5 goals. They have conceded the first goal in 14 of their 29 matches for this competition, and have never been able to turn the score around.

      Guingamp comes unmotivated for this match after an away home defeat by 5-1 against Lyon. The French coach Gourvennec won’t count on Benezet, Dembélé, Hery, Sorbon, Lévêque, De Pauw and Samassa, all injured. The most offensive reference of Guingamp is the French Privat, however, he presents some gaps in completion once that records only six goals scored. The greatest quality of the home team is how they can defend dead ball situations. Note that when they invest in the offensive process they usually do it through the centre aisle.

      Analysis of Saint-Étienne

      The away team is currently in the 7ª position of the league, with 42 points won, after 12 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against o Caen, by (1‑2). In the last match, they tied in an away match against o Angers, by (0‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 13 goals scored and 20 conceded; against 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 22 goals scored and 15 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches o Saint‑Étienne has a record of 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, so they have won 9 points out of 30 possible.

      In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (8 out of 15 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 7 of the last 15 matches for this competition have ended ended with Under 1,5 goals. In 29 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 10 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 15 away matches for this competition there are 1 periods that stand out: they have conceded 7 of their 18 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

      Saint-Étienne comes for this match after a goalless away home draw, against Angers. The main weakness of the visiting team is the defensive transition, once that is caught in the back foot several times, mainly when gives some players to attack. Furthermore, even aware of their weaknesses, the team likes to try to control the match on the enemy’s midfield. The coach of the visiting team won’t count on Bahebeck, Hamouma, Polomat, Clerc and Beric, all by injury. Lemoine will also be absent by being suspended.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario for this match will be Saint-Étienne don’t win. Apart from playing away home, the visiting team seems to be going through a very bad period, once that doesn’t record any victory in the last five matches. Note that Guingamp counts two victories in the last four home matches.


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