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Topic: Bayern München vs Werder Bremen - Bundesliga Rnd.26 12/03/16 17:30  (Read 110 times)

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    Stats » Bundesliga Germany » Bayern München vs Werder Bremen

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      Analysis: Bayern München vs Werder Bremen (12 March 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: March 09 2016, 19:51 »

      Bayern de Munique and Werder Bremen meet at Allianz‑Arena, in a match for the 26ª round of the Bundesliga. Bayern de Munique got an away win by (0‑1), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 17‑10‑2015. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the home team, since they have a record of 4 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses in the last 4 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 18‑10‑2014, in a match for the Bundesliga, Bayern de Munique won by (6‑0). The goals of the match were scored by P. Lahm (79' e 20' ), M. Götze (86' e 45' ), T. Müller (43' ) e Xabi Alonso (27' ) for Bayern de Munique. Although this is a match between 1º and 13º of the league table, it’s actually a match between the 1º best in home matches and the 8º best in away matches.

      Analysis of Bayern München

      The home team is currently in the 1ª position of the league, with 63 points won, after 20 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against Mainz 05, by (1‑2). In the last match, they tied in an away match against o Borussia Dortmund, by (0‑0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since they have won 30 points in away matches, with 21 goals scored and 7 conceded, against 33 points won at their stadium, with 38 goals scored and 6 conceded. In the last 10 home league matches o Bayern de Munique has a record of 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses, so they have won 27 points out of 30 possible.

      Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 9 of the last 12 for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 25 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 6 times, but have turned the score around in 4. In the last 12 home matches for this competition there are 1 periods that stand out: they have conceded 3 of their 6 goals between minutes (16'‑30').

      Bayern Munich comes for this match after a goalless draw against the league second placed, Borussia Dortmund, adding the second consecutive match without a win. Usually the coach Pep Guardiola operates in 4-2-3-1 privileging the ball possession and the organized attacks through the flanks. Douglas Costa and Robben are very fast and excellent in transporting the ball to attack. Despite the power that abounds in the Bavarian squad, the team shows some weaknesses in the air play and in the attack-defense transition. Robert Lewandowski continues to be the best scorer of the team with 33 goals scored. For this match the coach won’t count on Boateng, Badstuber and Martinez, injured.

      Analysis of Bremen

      The away team is currently in the 13ª position of the league, with 27 points won, after 7 wins, 6 draws and 12 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against o Bayer Leverkusen, by (1‑4). In the last match, they won in a home match against o Hannover 96, by (4‑1). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since they have won 17 points in away matches and 10 at their stadium, with 15 goals scored and 23 conceded at home, against 20 goals scored and 25 conceded in away matches. In the last 10 away league matches Werder Bremen has a record of 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses, so they have won 13 points out of 30 possible.

      Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 9 of the last 13 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 25 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 15 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

      Werder Bremen is going through a very positive moment of the season and in the last match they beat Hannover by 4-1. Like the last matches, the coach Viktor Skripnik should play in the usual 4-3-3, however, opting for a very defensive strategy. The best scorer Claudio Pizarro will be the most offensive reference of the team. Despite the good stage, the visiting team presents great difficulties in their playing style, being the maintenance of the ball possession and the defensive dead balls the most obvious problems. For this match the coach won’t count on Fritz and Junuzovic, punished, and Wolf, Sternberg, Zetterer, Husic, Bartels and Johannsson, injured.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario for this match will be the existence of some goals. Taking into account the difference of quality between the two teams, it’s foreseeable that Bayern Munich will play to attack since the first minute making with the match ends with some numbers on the scoreboard. In addition, Werder Bremen has great defensive difficulties and in this match will most likely suffer a rout.


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