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Topic: Barcelona vs Roma - UEFA Champions League Group E Rnd.5 24/11/15 19:45  (Read 174 times)

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    Head-to-Head in the last 3 years
    Date   Home   Away
    2015-09-16
    15/16
    Roma 1-1 Barcelona
    2015-08-05
    2015
    Barcelona 3-0 Roma
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    Stats » UEFA Champions League Europe » Barcelona vs Roma

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      Analysis: Barcelona vs Roma (24 November 2015)
      « Reply #1 on: November 23 2015, 11:17 »

      Barcelona and Roma face at Camp Nou, in a match for this stage of the UEFA Champions League (Group Stage). The recent head‑to‑head record favours the home team, since they have a record of 1 win and 1 draw in the last 2 matches. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, since Roma presents significant differences between home and away performances.

      Analysis of Barcelona

      After 3 wins and 1 draw, the home team is currently in the 1st position, with 10 points won. In the last match, they have won (3‑0) at home against BATE, after in the previous round they have won (0‑2) in an away match against BATE. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in away matches; against 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss at their stadium. They come to this match after a away win against Real Madrid by (0‑4). Barcelona has won 9 and tied 1 of the last 10 home matches.

      They haven’t lost any of the last 4 matches for this competition. Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in all of the last 4 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 30 of the last 34 matches have ended with Over 1,5 goals and 26 out of 34 have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 6 times, but have turned the score around in 4. In the last 20 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 6 of their 17 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

      After the great win over rivals Real Madrid, Barcelona is now focused on the Champions League, with the intention of defending the title they have conquered last season. The good news is the return of Messi, however, he is unlikely to be in his best form. The home team is likely to play in its usual 4-3-3 formation, privileging ball possession and fast offensive transitions to get the win.

      Analysis of Roma

      The away team is currently in the 2nd position, with 5 points won, after 1 win, 2 draws and 1 loss. In the penultimate round, they have tied an away match against Bayer Leverkusen by (4‑4). In the last round, they have won a home match against Bayer Leverkusen by (3‑2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 24 goals scored and 25 conceded; against 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 36 goals scored and 21 conceded. In their last match, for the Serie A, they got an away tie against Bologna by (2‑2). In the last 10 away matches Roma has won 4, tied 3 and lost 3. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of the last 4 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 4 matches for this competition. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 10 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 6 of their 16 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

      As in the last match, which ended in a 2-2 draw, Roma should play in a 4-3-3 formation, privileging defensive organization and seeking counterattack opportunities, trying to reach giant forward Dzeko directly. However, it’s worth noticing that Roma has presented a few defensive problems, so they will have a hard time trying to avoid conceding goals.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario is that Barcelona will score 3 or more goals. We expect the home team to totally dominate the match and create many goal opportunities, not only due to the home advantage, but also because of the individual and collective strength of the squad. Moreover, Roma has defensive problems which Barcelona can take advantage of.


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