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Topic: Real Madrid vs Roma - UEFA Champions League 8th Finals 08/03/16 19:45  (Read 105 times)

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    Timeline
    Head-to-Head in the last 3 years
    Date   Home   Away
    2016-02-17
    15/16
    Roma 0-2 Real Madrid
    2015-07-18
    2015
    Real Madrid 0-0

    PG 6-7

    Roma
    2014-07-30
    2014
    Real Madrid 0-1 Roma
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    Stats » UEFA Champions League Europe » Real Madrid vs Roma

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    • Posts: 152596
      Analysis: Real Madrid vs Roma (08 March 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: March 05 2016, 22:10 »

      Real Madrid and Roma meet at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, in a 2nd leg match for the Liga dos Campeões (Oitavos de final). Real Madrid got an away win by (0‑2) in the previous 1st leg match. The head‑to‑head history indicates total balance, since there is a record of 1 draws and 1 wins for each team in the last 3 matches. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, since Roma presents significant differences between home and away performances.

      Analysis of Real Madrid

      The home team comes to this 2nd leg match with an advantage of 2 goals, after the (0‑2) away win in the 1st leg. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in away matches; against 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses at their stadium. In their last match, for the Primera División, they got a home win against Celta de Vigo by (7‑1). In the last 10 home matches o Real Madrid has won 9, tied 0 and lost 1.

      In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 7 matches. Defensive consistency has been one of their best features, as they have only conceded goals in 1 of the last 7 matches, and their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 6 of the last 7 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 22 of the last 32 matches have ended with Over 2,5 goals. This is a team that likes to score first. They have opened up the score in 12 of the last 15 matches, they have reached half‑time in front in 10 of those 12 matches and have held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in 10 of them.

      The merengue team comes fully motivated for this match after a victory against Celta Vigo by 7-1. Cristiano Ronaldo was the big hero by scoring four goals. In this match the coach Zinedine Zidane should act in the usual 4-3-3, with Casemiro being the responsible for balance defensively the home team. Highlight the importance of Brazilian in the tactical team. In a great moment continues Cristiano Ronaldo: the Portuguese has 39 goals this season. However, Real Madrid continues to have great difficulties in the transition attack-defense and especially in the defensive dead balls. For this match the home coach won’t count on Benzema and Toni Kroos, injured; however, he could count on Luka Modric who is back after injury.

      Analysis of Roma

      After the home loss in the 1st leg, the away team comes to this 2nd leg with a disadvantage of 2 goals and the hard task of having to come back from a negative result in an away match. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in away matches, with 28 goals scored and 28 conceded; against 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 29 goals scored and 13 conceded. In their last match, for the Serie A, they got a home win against a Fiorentina by (4‑1). In the last 10 away matches Roma has won 3, tied 4 and lost 3.

      Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 6 of the last 7 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 5 of the last 7 matches for this competition.

      In the image of his opponent to Rome comes to this game with morale high after beating Fiorentina 4-1. In this difficult match Roma have to reduce a disadvantage of 0-2 in the round, and therefore, it’s foreseeable that the coach Luciano Spalletti will opt for a very offensive strategy. Furthermore, the offensive trio of visitors will be composed by El Shaarawy Mohamed Saha and Edin Dzeko, being their player the best scorer with 12 goals scored. Despite the offensive qualities, it’s on the defensive line that Rome has more weaknesses, especially in spaces that give to their opponent. For this match the coach won’t count on Ponce, Gyomber and Daniele De Rossi, all recovering from injury.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario for this match will be the existence of several goals. We believe that Real Madrid will dominate much of the match and enjoy the best score chances; however, the quick transitions of Rome will create serious difficulties for the team. On the other hand, both teams have some quality difference between the offensive and the defensive sector, being likely to score a few occasions.


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