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Topic: Espanyol vs Rayo Vallecano - Primera División Rnd.28 07/03/16 19:30  (Read 261 times)

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    Stats » Primera División Spain » Espanyol vs Rayo Vallecano

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      Analysis: Espanyol vs Rayo Vallecano (07 March 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: March 05 2016, 23:20 »

      Espanyol and Rayo Vallecano meet at RCDE Stadium, in a match for the 28ª round of the Primeira Divisão. Rayo Vallecano got a home win by (3‑0), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 23‑10‑2015. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 4 head‑to‑heads they won 2, tied 2 and lost 0. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Primeira Divisão, on 03‑05‑2015, they tied (1‑1). H. Moreno (80' ) scored for Espanyol and E. Insúa (29' ) for Rayo Vallecano. Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

      Analysis of Espanyol

      The home team is currently in the 14ª position of the league, with 28 points won, after 8 wins, 4 draws and 15 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Sporting Gijón, by (2‑4). In the last match, they lost in a home match against o Real Betis, by (0‑3). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 losses in away matches, with 16 goals scored and 35 conceded; against 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 13 goals scored and 23 conceded. In the last 10 home league matches o Espanyol has a record of 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 13 points out of 30 possible.

      Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. 8 of their last 13 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals, so there is a tendency for few goals in their home matches. In 27 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 16 times and have only turned the score around in 2.

      Espanhol head into this match with a low motivation after a home loss against Real Betis, however, it is important to remember that they had 2 consecutive games without a loss prior to that matchup. Despite the loss, they should play in the same 4-2-3-1 formation, with Felipe Caicedo the only forward, he is the best scorer on the team with 8 goals. For this match, they will be without Arbilla, Mamadou Sylla and Jose Canas, who are all hurt.

      Analysis of Rayo Vallecano

      The away team is currently in the 16ª position of the league, with 26 points won, after 6 wins, 8 draws and 13 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against o Real Betis, by (2‑2). In the last match, they lost in a home match against o Barcelona, by (1‑5). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in away matches, with 19 goals scored and 41 conceded; against 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses at their stadium, with 22 goals scored and 24 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches o Rayo Vallecano has a record of 0 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses, so they have won 5 points out of 30 possible.

      In this competition, they have a sequence of 4 draws in the last away matches and they haven't won any of the last 11 away matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 10 of the last 13 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 27 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 14 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

      After 7 consecutive matches without a loss, Rayo Vallecano had a big loss, 5-1 against Barcelona. For this next match, they should play in their usual 4-2-3-1 formation, prioritising attack from the get go. Manucho is the main offensive reference in the team, but he had only 4 goals. For this match, they will be without Llorente and Manuel Iturra, who are suspended, in addition to Cobeno, Ebert, Razvan Rat, Pablo Hernandez and Miku, who are hurt.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most probable scenario for this match is for both teams to score at least one goal. We believe in a very open game, with a lot of scoring opportunities for both sides, as they both need the points. Besides, both teams show some difficulties in their defensive system.


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