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Topic: Atalanta vs Juventus - Serie A Rnd.28 06/03/16 14:00  (Read 83 times)

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    Stats » Serie A Italy » Atalanta vs Juventus

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      Analysis: Atalanta vs Juventus (06 March 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: March 03 2016, 16:34 »

      Atalanta and Juventus meet at Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia, in a match for the 28ª round of the Série A. Juventus got a home win by (2‑0), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 25‑10‑2015. The head‑to‑head record at this stadium favours the away team, since in the last 4 head‑to‑heads they won 4, tied 0 and lost 0. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Série A, on 27‑09‑2014, Juventus won by (0‑3). Álvaro Morata (83' ) e C. Tevez (59' e 35' ) scored the goals of the match for Juventus. Atalanta registers significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth special attention.

      Analysis of Atalanta

      The home team is currently in the 13ª position of the league, with 30 points won, after 7 wins, 9 draws and 11 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against Fiorentina, by (2‑3). In the last match, they tied in an away match against o Carpi, by (1‑1). This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in away matches; against 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses at their stadium. For the league, Atalanta won 12 points out of 30 possible points, after 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the last 10 home matches.

      In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (6 out of 13 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 12 of their 27 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 13 home matches for this competition there are 1 periods that stand out: they have conceded 7 of their 14 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

      Atalanta comes for this match after an away home draw, by 1-1, against Carpi. The home team chooses to use an offensive strategy, with a line of four defenders, three midfielders and three forwards. So, when they invest in the offensive process, Atalanta can have a lot width at this time, taking advantage of the depth offered by the wingers. Diamanti, Pinilla and D'Alessandro compose the triplet whose mission is to dismantle the defense of the "enemy." Note that the best team scorer, Gomez, has just five goals scored in 26 matches, and this statistic reflects the difficulty of the home team in the creation and finishing of danger situations.

      Analysis of Juventus

      The away team is currently in the 1ª position of the league, with 61 points won, after 19 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against o Bologna, by (0‑0). In the last match, they won in a home match against o Internazionale, by (2‑0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in away matches, with 25 goals scored and 10 conceded; against 13 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses at their stadium, with 29 goals scored and 5 conceded. In their last match, for the Coppa Italia, they got an away win against o Internazionale by (3‑5) after a penalty shootout. In the last 10 away league matches Juventus has a record of 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, so they have won 25 points out of 30 possible.

      In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 9 away matches. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (5 out of 14 matches). Defensive consistency has been one of their best features, as they have only conceded goals in 1 of the last 10 matches, and their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 27 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times but have turned the score around in 4.

      Juventus comes motivated for this match after successfully scoring in the final of the Italian Cup, which overtook Inter on penalties. The defensive of the visiting team seems to be quite competent, once that one of the greatest qualities of this team is how they can secure a positive result. Note that when Juventus chooses to invest in the offensive process usually does it through the lateral flanks. The visiting team chooses to use a style of play on the ball possession, making progress on the ground through short passes. Morata and Dybala are the two players responsible for putting in order the opponent’s defense.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario for this match will be Juventus win. Admittedly, the visiting team will match away home; however, comparatively to the opponent of this match, Juventus holds greater individual and collective quality. So, it’s foreseeable that the visiting team will can continue the good results recorded in other team's home.


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