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Topic: Valencia vs Atlético Madrid - Primera División Rnd.28 06/03/16 19:30  (Read 89 times)

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    Stats » Primera División Spain » Valencia vs Atlético Madrid

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      Analysis: Valencia vs Atlético Madrid (06 March 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: March 03 2016, 23:20 »

      Valencia and Atlético Madrid meet at Estadio de Mestalla, in a match for the 28ª round of the Primeira Divisão. Atlético Madrid got a home win by (2‑1), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 25‑10‑2015. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 6 head‑to‑heads they won 3, tied 1 and lost 2. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Primeira Divisão, on 04‑10‑2014, Valencia won by (3‑1). N. Otamendi (13' ), André Gomes (7' ) e Miranda (6' Autogolo) scored for Valencia and M. Mandžukić (29' ) for Atlético Madrid. Valencia registers significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth special attention.

      Analysis of Valencia

      The home team is currently in the 9ª position of the league, with 34 points won, after 8 wins, 10 draws and 9 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against Athletic Club, by (0‑3). In the last match, they won in an away match against o Málaga, by (1‑2). This is a team that, oddly enough, has had better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in away matches; against 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses at their stadium. In the last 10 home league matches o Valencia has a record of 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 14 points out of 30 possible.

      In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (6 out of 13 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 17 of their 27 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 2.

      Valencia comes for this match after an away home victory conquered against Malaga, returning to winning ways after a heavy defeat at home. In this match it’s foreseeable that the coach Gary Neville will play in the usual 4-3-3 privileging the ball possession and paused attacks to attack. In addition, it will be apparent that Valencia uses the flanks to create danger to the enemy. Cheryshev and Feghouli are very fast players and excellent in the carriage of the ball. However, it’s worth mentioning that Valencia has weaknesses in the defensive dead balls and in individual mistakes in most defensive areas. For this match the coach won’t count on Enzo Pérez, Bakkali and Abdennour, all recovering from injury.

      Analysis of Atlético

      The away team is currently in the 2ª position of the league, with 61 points won, after 19 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against o Real Madrid, by (0‑1). In the last match, they won in a home match against a Real Sociedad, by (3‑0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in away matches, with 18 goals scored and 6 conceded; against 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses at their stadium, with 26 goals scored and 7 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches o Atlético Madrid has a record of 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 22 points out of 30 possible.

      In their away matches there are a few frequent results: at half‑time 0‑0 (5 out of 14 matches) and 0‑1 (7 out of 14 matches) and after the 90' 0‑2 (5 out of 14 matches). Defensive consistency has been one of their best features, as they have only conceded goals in 2 of the last 10 matches, and their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 11 of the last 14 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 27 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 5 times but have turned the score around in 2. In the last 14 away matches for this competition there are 1 periods that stand out: they have scored 9 of their 21 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

      Atletico Madrid comes very motivated for this match after the recent results, being important to remember that the team won away home the mighty Real Madrid. Usually the coach Diego Simeone plays in 4-4-2 with Fernando Torres and Antoine Griezmann the most offensive references of the visiting team. The second player has 21 scored goals this season. It’s important to note that the visiting team shows great skill in the dead balls and counter-attack, managing to create danger with few players in the attack. For this match the coach won’t count on Yannick Ferreira-Carrasco, Godín, James and Stefan Savic, because they’re recovering from injury.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario for this match will be Atletico Madrid to score the first goal of the match. We believe that this match will be dominated by the visiting team due to the quality difference between the two teams. So, it will be natural that Atletico Madrid lead the scoreboard in the first and later manage the match, something that happened in the match against Real Madrid.


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      Stats » Primera División » Valencia vs Atlético