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Topic: União Madeira vs Belenenses - Primeira Liga Rnd.25 06/03/16 16:00  (Read 118 times)

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    Stats » Primeira Liga Portugal » União Madeira vs Belenenses

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      Analysis: União Madeira vs Belenenses (06 March 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: March 04 2016, 23:09 »

      União Madeira and Belenenses meet at Estádio do Centro Desportivo da Madeira, in a match for the 25ª round of the Primeira Liga. Belenenses got a home win by (1‑0), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 26‑10‑2015. The recent head‑to‑head record favours the away team, since they have a record of 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses in the last 5 matches. Although this is a match between 14º and 12º of the league table, it’s actually a match between the 8º best in home matches and the 11º best in away matches.

      Analysis of União Madeira

      After 6 wins, 6 draws and 12 losses, the home team is in the 14ª position, havinf won 24 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Benfica by (2‑0), after in the previous match they have tied (1‑1) at home, against Estoril. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 5 points in away matches, with 6 goals scored and 24 conceded, against 19 points won at their stadium, with 10 goals scored and 8 conceded. In the last 10 home league matches o União Madeira has a record of 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 15 points out of 30 possible.

      In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (6 out of 12 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches for this competition there is a tendency for few goals, since 9 of the last 12 matches have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 24 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 12 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 12 home matches for this competition there are 2 periods that stand out: they have conceded 3 of their 8 goals between minutes (76'‑90') and 3 of their 8 goals between (0'‑15').

      Madeira Union comes unmotivated for this match after an away home defeat, by 2-0, against Benfica. Thus, despite the home team to be very fragile, they recorded three wins in the last five home matches, against National, Boavista and Sporting. William Soares is the main reference of the home team, and the midfielder is responsible for occupy a more central area of the pitch and to adopt a defensive posture. The best scorer of União da Madeira is the forward Danilo Dias with only five goals scored. So, it’s possible to infer the difficulty of the home team to create danger situations.

      Analysis of Belenenses

      The away team is currently in the 12ª position of the league, with 28 points won, after 7 wins, 7 draws and 10 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against o Arouca, by (0‑2). In the last match, they lost in a home match against o Porto, by (1‑2). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, with 16 goals scored and 22 goals conceded at home, against 15 goals scored and 30 conceded in away matches. Their last away match for this competition ended in a win by (2‑3) against o Moreirense. In the last 10 away league matches Belenenses has a record of 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, so they have won 11 points out of 30 possible.

      Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 9 of the last 12 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 24 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 15 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

      Belenenses comes unmotivated for this match after a home defeat, by 1-2, against Porto. The two players responsible for launching the panic in the enemy’s area are Sturgeon and Juanto. It’s important to highlight the speed of the first one. The Portuguese Ruben Pinto is the midfielder responsible to create offensive thrusts of his team, always trying to define the attacks in the best way. Miguel Rosa is the most able player to "jump" from the bank and to try to solve any adverse situation.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario for this match will be Belenenses don’t win. Admittedly, Union of Madeira is one of the teams with more gaps of the first Portuguese ranking; however, when they play at home the team manages to demonstrate a great fighting spirit, obtaining some interesting results. So, it’s foreseeable that Union Madeira will add at least one point in this match.


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