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Topic: Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern München - Bundesliga Rnd.25 05/03/16 17:30  (Read 172 times)

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    Stats » Bundesliga Germany » Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern München

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      Analysis: Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern München (05 March 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: March 05 2016, 00:12 »

      Borussia Dortmund and Bayern de Munique meet at Signal‑Iduna‑Park, in a match for the 25ª round of the Bundesliga. Bayern de Munique got a home win by (5‑1), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 04‑10‑2015. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 6 head‑to‑heads they won 3, tied 1 and lost 2. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Bundesliga, on 04‑04‑2015, Bayern de Munique won by (0‑1). R. Lewandowski (36' ) scored the only goal of the match.

      Analysis of Dortmund

      After 18 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, the home team is in the 2ª position, havinf won 57 points so far. In the last match, they have won in an away match against Darmstadt 98 by (0‑2), after in the previous match they have won (3‑1) at home, against Hoffenheim. In the last 10 home league matches o Borussia Dortmund has a record of 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses, so they have won 28 points out of 30 possible.

      They have won the last 7 home matches and haven't lost any of the last 11 home matches for this competition. Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 9 of the last 11 for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 24 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 7 times, but have turned the score around in 3.

      Usually the coach Thomas Tuchel plays in 4-2-3-1 privileging the ball possession football and the organized attacks, mainly through the flanks. One of the strengths of the home team is the defensive dead balls, once that they have the squad with players with great physical stature. However, the team usually loses many balls in the defensive sector. These errors occur due to ''obsession'' to leave for the attack through short passes. Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang remains the best scorer of the team with 32 goals, and this is the player who can create more danger to the visiting team. Apparently the coach won’t count on Sokratis Papastathopoulos who is recovering from injury.

      Analysis of Bayern München

      The away team is currently in the 1ª position of the league, with 62 points won, after 20 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against o Wolfsburg, by (0‑2). In the last match, they lost in a home match against o Mainz 05, by (1‑2). In the last 10 away league matches o Bayern de Munique has a record of 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses, so they have won 23 points out of 30 possible.

      In their away league matches there are a few frequent results at half‑time: 0‑0 (5 out of 12 matches) and 0‑1 (5 out of 12 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 24 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 6 times but have turned the score around in 4. In the last 12 away matches for this competition there are 1 periods that stand out: they have scored 9 of their 21 goals between minutes (61'‑75').

      In this match the coach Pep Guardiola should use the usual 4-3-3 with Lewandowski being the most offensive reference of the home team. It’s important to note that the Polish has 33 goals scored this season. The visiting team has great expertise in the offensive process, and furthermore, Bayern have great quality in the defensive dead balls. As usual, the transition attack-defense remains one of the weakest points of the visiting team. For this match the Spanish coach won’t count on Badstuber, Boateng and Javier Martínez, all recovering from physical problems.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario for this match will be both teams score at least one goal. Given the offensive power of both teams, it’s expectable that the attacks will get better than the respective defenses. Moreover, as it’s a match of all or nothing, it’s foreseeable that the two teams will attack without worrying about the defensive balance, thus increasing the likelihood of scoring goals in both sides.

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      Stats » Bundesliga » Dortmund vs Bayern München