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Topic: Málaga vs Valencia - Primera División Rnd.27 02/03/16 19:00  (Read 128 times)

Offline Estatísticas

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    Timeline
    Head-to-Head in the last 3 years
    Date   Home   Away
    2015-10-17
    15/16
    Valencia 3-0 Málaga
    2015-02-02
    14/15
    Málaga 1-0 Valencia
    2014-08-29
    14/15
    Valencia 3-0 Málaga
    2014-01-17
    13/14
    Málaga 0-0 Valencia
    2013-08-17
    13/14
    Valencia 1-0 Málaga
    2013-04-20
    12/13
    Valencia 5-1 Málaga
    2012-11-24
    12/13
    Málaga 4-0 Valencia
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    Stats » Primera División Spain » Málaga vs Valencia

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      Analysis: Málaga vs Valencia (02 March 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: February 29 2016, 13:51 »

      Málaga and Valencia meet at Estadio La Rosaleda, in a match for the 27ª round of the Primeira Divisão. Valencia got a home win by (3‑0), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 17‑10‑2015. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 4 head‑to‑heads they won 3, tied 1 and lost 0. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Primeira Divisão, on 02‑02‑2015, Málaga won by (1‑0). Samu Castillejo (25' ) scored the only goal of the match. Málaga registers significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth special attention.

      Analysis of Málaga

      The home team is currently in the 11ª position of the league, with 32 points won, after 8 wins, 8 draws and 10 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against Real Madrid, by (1‑1). In the last match, they tied in an away match against a Real Sociedad, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 11 goals scored and 16 conceded; against 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 20 goals scored and 10 conceded. In the last 10 home league matches o Málaga has a record of 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 17 points out of 30 possible.

      The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 0‑0 (6 out of 12 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. 8 of their last 12 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals, so there is a tendency for few goals in their home matches. They have conceded the first goal in 13 of their 26 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1.

      Malaga heads into this match after an away draw, 1-1 against Real Sociedad. They have already shown that they have trouble holding onto leads. They are a team that has been creating lots of goal scoring opportunities, but has difficulties scoring goals. We expect Malaga to use the left wing, using left back Ricca. Mastour, Juan Carlos and Castro are questionable for this game, recovering from injuries.

      Analysis of Valencia

      The away team is currently in the 12ª position of the league, with 31 points won, after 7 wins, 10 draws and 9 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against o Granada, by (1‑2). In the last match, they lost in a home match against o Athletic Club, by (0‑3). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 20 goals scored and 20 conceded; against 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 27 goals scored and 17 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Valencia has a record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses, so they have won 8 points out of 30 possible.

      In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (7 out of 13 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 9 of the last 13 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 26 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 16 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 13 away matches for this competition there are 1 periods that stand out: they have scored 5 of their 12 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

      Valencia heads into this matchup with a low motivation after a 3-0 home loss against Atletico de Bilbao. Bakkali and Abdennour are questionable for this game, with injuries. They usually play in a 4-3-3 formation, prioritising attacks through the wings. Alvaro Negredo is one of their main offensive references, despite recent bad form, as he had only 4 goals.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most probable scenario for this challenge is Malaga not to win. They are playing at home in front of their fans, but Valencia has found themselves in a better form lately, so we expect the visitors to leave this match with at least a draw.


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