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Topic: Fiorentina vs Napoli - Serie A Rnd.27 29/02/16 20:00  (Read 65 times)

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    Fiorentina vs Napoli - Serie A Rnd.27 29/02/16 20:00
    « on: February 26 2016, 04:03 »
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    Stats » Serie A Italy » Fiorentina vs Napoli

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      Analysis: Fiorentina vs Napoli (29 February 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: February 26 2016, 22:39 »

      Fiorentina and Nápoles face at Stadio Artemio Franchi, in a match for the 27ª round of the Série A. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 18‑10‑2015, Nápoles got a home win by (2‑1). At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the away team, since they have a record of 3 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses in the last 4 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 09‑11‑2014, in a match for the Série A, Nápoles won by (0‑1). The only goal of the match was scored by G. Higuaín (61' ).

      Analysis of Fiorentina

      After 16 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses, the home team is in the 3ª position, havinf won 52 points so far. In the last match, they have won in an away match against Atalanta by (2‑3), after in the previous match they have won (2‑1) at home, against Internazionale. They come to this match after a away loss against Tottenham Hotspur by (3‑0). For the league, Fiorentina won 22 points out of 30 possible points, after 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in the last 10 home matches.

      Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 12 of the last 13 matches for this competition have ended with Over 1,5 goals. In 26 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 6 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

      Fiorentina comes unmotivated for this match after an away home defeat against Tottenham, then being eliminated from Europa League. Usually the team led by Paulo Sousa has a supported style of play, with organized and paused attacks using flanks to create danger to the opponent. Tello is one of the highlights of the team. Nikola Kalinic is the player who deserves a stronger mark by Napoles, the Croat has 11 goals in this league. For this match the coach won’t count on Mauro Zárate, suspended, and Benalouane who continues to recover from injury.

      Analysis of Napoli

      The away team is currently in the 2ª position of the league, with 57 points won, after 17 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against a Juventus, by (1‑0). In the last match, they tied in a home match against o Milan, by (1‑1). In their last match, for the UEFA Europa League, they got a home tie against o Villarreal by (1‑1). In the last 10 away league matches Nápoles has a record of 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 22 points out of 30 possible.

      In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (6 out of 13 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 26 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 5 times but have turned the score around in 2.

      Like this opponent, Napoles comes unmotivated for this match after a home draw against Villarreal, also being eliminated from Europa League. In this match it’s foreseeable that the coach Maurizio Sarri will play the usual 4-3-3 favoring defensive organization and counterattacks, trying to explore the back of the Fiorentina’s defensive line. It’s remarkable that the Argentine Higuain is the best scorer with 24 scored goals. Apparently the coach won’t count on Ivan Strinic, recovering from injury.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario for this match will be the occurrence of less than two goals. This is a match between teams with morale low and, therefore, it’s foreseeable that this will be a very balanced match and with some moments of closed match. However, it’s foreseeable that the Napoles, even playing away home, will dominate and will take advantage of the best opportunities to score. Therefore, and due to the balance of the two teams, will be expectable a match with slight numbers on the scoreboard.


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