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Topic: Barcelona vs Sevilla - Primera División Rnd.26 28/02/16 19:30  (Read 153 times)

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    Stats » Primera División Spain » Barcelona vs Sevilla

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    • Posts: 151933
      Analysis: Barcelona vs Sevilla (28 February 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: February 26 2016, 15:51 »

      Barcelona and Sevilla meet at Camp Nou, in a match for the 26th round of the Primera División. Sevilla got a home win by (2‑1), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 03‑10‑2015. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 4 head‑to‑heads they won 3 and tied 1. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Primera División, on 22‑11‑2014, Barcelona won by (5‑1). L. Messi (21' , 72' and 78' ), Neymar (49' ) and I. Rakitić (65' ) scored for Barcelona and Jordi Alba (47' Own goal) for Sevilla. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 1st and 5th of the league table, it’s also a match between the 1st best team in home matches and the 15th best in away matches.

      Analysis of Barcelona

      The home team is currently in the 1st position of the league, with 63 points won, after 20 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Sporting Gijón, by (1‑3). In the last match, they won in an away match against Las Palmas, by (1‑2). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since they have won 26 points in away matches, with 21 goals scored and 11 conceded, against 37 points won at their stadium, with 46 goals scored and 9 conceded. They come to this match after a away win against Arsenal by (0‑2).

      In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 13 home matches. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 12 of the last 13 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 25 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 6 times, but have turned the score around in 4. In the last 13 home matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 4 of their 9 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

      Barcelona head into this game very motivated after a win against Arsenal, making it their 4th consecutive win. Luis Enrique will play in a 4-3-3 formation prioritising offense from the get go. Their trio of stars is one of the best in the world and in this match, it is likely that they will be able to score a few goals. Rafinha should be out due to an injury.

      Analysis of Sevilla

      The away team is currently in the 5th position of the league, with 41 points won, after 11 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Las Palmas, by (2‑0). In the last match, they tied in an away match against Rayo Vallecano, by (2‑2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 8 points in away matches and 33 at their stadium, with 28 goals scored and 12 conceded at home, against 8 goals scored and 14 conceded in away matches. In their last match, for the UEFA Europa League, they got an away loss against Molde by (1‑0). In the last 10 away league matches Sevilla has a record of 6 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 6 points out of 30 possible.

      In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 12 away matches. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 9 of the last 12 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 25 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

      Sevilla head into this match very motivated after 7 games without a loss, however, it is important to remember that in the last game they had a draw against Rayo Vallecano. In this challenge, coach Unai Emery will play in their usual 4-2-3-1 with Gameiro the lone forward. Gameiro is the best scorer in the team with 19 goals. Beto, Nicolas Pareja, Krychowiak and Marco Andreoli are hurt and won't play.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most probable scenario for this match is the occurrence of a couple goals still in the first half. We believe Barcelona will head into this match trying to settle things quickly. And we believe Sevilla has the offensive quality and should play looking for at least one goal.


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      Stats » Primera División » Barcelona vs Sevilla