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Topic: Utrecht vs Feyenoord - Eredivisie Rnd.25 28/02/16 13:30  (Read 107 times)

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    Stats » Eredivisie Netherlands » Utrecht vs Feyenoord

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      Analysis: Utrecht vs Feyenoord (28 February 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: February 28 2016, 04:55 »

      Utrecht and Feyenoord meet at Stadion Galgenwaard, in a match for the 25ª round of the Eredivisie. Feyenoord got a home win by (3‑2), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 08‑08‑2015. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the away team, since they have a record of 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in the last 5 matches. However, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 01‑03‑2015, in a match for the Eredivisie they tied (0‑0). The home advantage may play an important role in this match , since Utrecht presents significant differences between home and away results.

      Analysis of Utrecht

      After 11 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses, the home team is in the 4ª position, havinf won 38 points so far. In the last match, they have won at home against Willem II by (2‑1), after in the previous match they have won (0‑2) an away match against Cambuur. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in away matches; against 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses at their stadium. In the last 10 home league matches o Utrecht has a record of 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses, so they have won 23 points out of 30 possible.

      Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 24 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 13 times and have only turned the score around in 3. In the last 11 home matches for this competition there are 1 periods that stand out: they have scored 8 of their 21 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

      Utrecht is recovering after a few lost matches, they had some flaws and let a couple of points behind against weaker teams. These points took them away for good from fighting for the title, in addition to a loss against PSV, their main contenders for the title.

      After 2 wins in a row they have their eyes set on the third win against a team that is going through their worst sequence in their history. Now they have the chance to bury this team even further, a direct rival in the fight for the playoff spots.

      They should use their strengh in crosses and take advantage of any space left by their opponents, especially in counter attacks. They should try to explore all of the defensive flaws Feyenoord has.

      Rubio, Kevin, Louis and Sean are all unavailable for this match.

      Analysis of Feyenoord

      The away team is currently in the 7ª position of the league, with 37 points won, after 11 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against o PEC Zwolle, by (3‑1). In the last match, they tied in a home match against o Roda JC, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 26 goals scored and 23 conceded; against 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 27 goals scored and 12 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches o Feyenoord has a record of 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, so they have won 11 points out of 30 possible.

      In this competition, they have a sequence of 4 losses in the last away matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 8 of the last 12 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 24 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

      They are facing a rough phase where they are responsible for what has been happening. They were favored to win the title and now they might not even be in the playoffs, in case they don't start winning. They still haven't got their stuff together to manage wins, as they lost against Roda

      They have lost their last 4 away games and are facing that has won 5 of their last 6 games at home, which makes this match an even bigger challenge. A loss and a combination of results would leave them away from the playoffs.

      In addition to losing away from home, they have conceded at least 2 goals in the games away from home. The team needs to change fast before their fans lose it. This isn't the best game to turn things around but they have no time to lose. 

      Hahn is the only player unavailable.

      Betting suggestion:

      It is a fact that Feyenoord will wake up sooner or later, but in the meantime that hasn't been happening and I will keep betting against them, as they have been performing really badly. Not even their most fanatic fan can dream about good performances from them.

      So I imagine that in this match, the best bet is in the home team DNB market.


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