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Topic: De Graafschap vs Heerenveen - Eredivisie Rnd.25 28/02/16 13:30  (Read 94 times)

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    2015-08-11
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    Heerenveen 3-1 De Graafschap
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    Stats » Eredivisie Netherlands » De Graafschap vs Heerenveen

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      Analysis: De Graafschap vs Heerenveen (28 February 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: February 27 2016, 23:05 »

      De Graafschap and Heerenveen face at Stadion De Vijverberg, in a match for the 25ª round of the Eredivisie. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 11‑08‑2015, Heerenveen got a home win by (3‑1). Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

      Analysis of De Graafschap

      The home team is currently in the 17ª position of the league, with 14 points won, after 3 wins, 5 draws and 16 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Willem II, by (0‑0). In the last match, they tied in a home match against o Vitesse, by (2‑2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses in away matches, with 22 goals scored and 31 conceded; against 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses at their stadium, with 20 goals scored and 27 conceded. In the last 10 home league matches o De Graafschap has a record of 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, so they have won 9 points out of 30 possible.

      Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. They haven't been able to score the first goal. In fact, they have only opened up the score in 5 of the last 24 matches for the Eredivisie, they have reached half‑time in advantage in 3 of those 5 matches and have held on to the lead in 2. They have conceded the first goal in 18 of their 24 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1.

      De Graafschap is looking for recovery after so many negative results, they come from 3 draws as the last one was a good result against Vitesse away from home. However, they need wins if they still dream of escaping from relegation. 

      Time is the key word for this team now, that is playing at home and can't settle for anything else besides a win against Heerenveen. They are 5 points inside the relegation zone. 

      Their opponent is the middle of the table, far away from playoffs and far from relegation. So with an opponent without much interest in this game, the home team should take advantage and seek a win and maybe escape relegation.

      Bourma, Diemers and Lammers will be unavailable for this match.

      Analysis of Heerenveen

      The away team is currently in the 12ª position of the league, with 30 points won, after 8 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against o Vitesse, by (3‑0). In the last match, they tied in a home match against o NEC, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses in away matches, with 21 goals scored and 33 conceded; against 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 22 goals scored and 19 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Heerenveen has a record of 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses, so they have won 10 points out of 30 possible.

      Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 8 of the last 12 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 24 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 11 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 12 away matches for this competition there are 1 periods that stand out: they have scored 7 of their 16 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

      After losing the chance to be fighting for a spot towards playoffs in the last 3 matches, Heerenveen visits De Graafschap looking for wins to avoid a scare towards relegation. 

      With a lot of ups and downs, they still haven't managed a sequence of good wins, which has got in the way of their plans this season. But they can still turn things around.

      A win away from home would be an excellent way to get back on track and, even playing away from home, the last time they faced this team away from home, they won 2-0. This leaves them with high morale for this match.

      Huser, Them, Doke and Joris will be unavailable for this match.

      Betting suggestion:

      I expect a reasonable amount of goals in this match. Both teams know hot to play offensively and have flaws in the defensive end. Both teams play very much alike, at home and away, trying to keep a high defense and pressure the opponents. 

      Our bet is towards the over.


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