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Topic: Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen - Bundesliga Rnd.23 28/02/16 16:30  (Read 121 times)

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    Stats » Bundesliga Germany » Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen

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      Analysis: Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen (28 February 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: February 25 2016, 23:18 »

      Mainz 05 and Bayer Leverkusen face at OPEL ARENA, in a match for the 23th round of the Bundesliga. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 23‑09‑2015, Bayer Leverkusen got a home win by (1‑0). The head‑to‑head record at this stadium couldn't be more balanced, as it shows 2 wins for each team in the last 4 head‑to‑heads. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, on 11‑04‑2015, for the Bundesliga, Bayer Leverkusen won by (2‑3). Ja‑Cheol Koo (78' and 90' ) scored for Mainz 05 and Heung‑Min Son (15' ), S. Kießling (59' ) and H. Çalhanoğlu (73' ) for Bayer Leverkusen. Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

      Analysis of Mainz 05

      After 10 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses, the home team is in the 7th position, havinf won 33 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Hoffenheim by (3‑2), after in the previous match they have won (2‑1) at home, against Schalke 04. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 20 goals scored and 21 conceded; against 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 19 goals scored and 17 conceded. For the league, Mainz 05 won 19 points out of 30 possible points, after 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in the last 10 home matches. They have conceded the first goal in 9 of their 22 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1.

      Mainz 05 comes unmotivated for this match due to the defeat recorded in the Hoffenheim’s home, putting an end to three consecutive matches without a win. Despite the defeat it’s foreseeable that the coach Martin Schmidt will play like the last match, in 4-2-3-1, favoring the defensive organization and successive counterattacks in order to surprise the opponent. In front of the team’s attack will be Jhon Cordoba, however, the best scorer is the midfielder Yunus Malli with 8 goals. For this match the coach won’t count Soto, Bell, Bengtsson, Latza, Muto, Klement and Berggren, all injured.

      Analysis of Leverkusen

      The away team is currently in the 4th position of the league, with 35 points won, after 10 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Darmstadt 98, by (1‑2). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Borussia Dortmund, by (0‑1). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 29 goals scored and 17 conceded; against 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 27 goals scored and 19 conceded. In their last match, for the UEFA Europa League, they got a home win against Sporting CP by (3‑1). In the last 10 away league matches Bayer Leverkusen has a record of 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 14 points out of 30 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 1‑0 (4 out of 11 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 22 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 13 times and have only turned the score around in 3. In the last 11 away matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 5 of their 13 goals between minutes (61'‑75').

      In the last match of the championship Leverkusen was surprised at home by Borussia Dortmund, in a match at least ridiculous. The ultimate goal will be to return to winning ways and then it’s expectable that the coach Roger Schmidt will play with a high average block trying to get back the ball in earlier land. Bellarabi and Mehmedi are extremely important to exploit the spaces in the opponent. However, it’s worth mentioning that the best scorer of the visiting team is the Mexican Chicharito, with 22 scored goals. For this match the coach won’t count on Bender, Toprak, Aranguiz and Kampl, all injured.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario for this match will be both teams score at least one goal. Taking into account the latest home matches of Mainz it won’t be surprising that they’ll aim to achieve goal of Leverkusen at least one occasion. Leverkusen will be very offensive and practically with their best pieces, being foreseeable that they’ll swing the networks of their opponent.


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