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Topic: Borussia Dortmund vs Hoffenheim - Bundesliga Rnd.23 28/02/16 16:30  (Read 71 times)

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    Stats » Bundesliga Germany » Borussia Dortmund vs Hoffenheim

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      Analysis: Borussia Dortmund vs Hoffenheim (28 February 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: February 26 2016, 09:15 »

      Borussia Dortmund and Hoffenheim meet at Signal‑Iduna‑Park, in a match for the 23th round of the Bundesliga. These teams have tied (1‑1) in the last head‑to‑head for this edition of the league, played on 23‑09‑2015. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the home team, since they have a record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 5 matches. However, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 07‑04‑2015, in a match for the DFB Pokal, Borussia Dortmund only reached the win by (3‑2), after extended time. The goals of the match were scored by N. Subotić (19' ), P. Aubameyang (57' ) and S. Kehl (107' ), for Borussia Dortmund, and by K. Volland (21' ) and Roberto Firmino (27' ), for Hoffenheim. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, since Hoffenheim presents significant differences between home and away performances.

      Analysis of Dortmund

      After 16 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, the home team is in the 2nd position, havinf won 51 points so far. In the last match, they have won in an away match against Bayer Leverkusen by (0‑1), after in the previous match they have won (1‑0) at home, against Hannover 96. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in away matches; against 13 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss at their stadium. In their last match, for the UEFA Europa League, they got an away win against Porto by (0‑1). In the last 10 home league matches Borussia Dortmund has a record of 9 wins and 1 draw, so they have won 28 points out of 30 possible.

      In this competition, they have a sequence of 6 wins in the last home matches and they haven't lost any of the last 10 home matches. Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 8 of the last 10 for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 22 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 6 times, but have turned the score around in 2.

      In a year of transition with the arrival of the coach Thomas Tuchel, Borussia Dortmund has been doing an excellent season and comes in a very good shape, playing very well. The team has a tough competition, with Bayern for the German title, but they still believe and, to be able to get there they need to win this match. For this, Thomas Tuchel must have the absence of Sokratis Papastathopoulos, injured.

      Analysis of Hoffenheim

      The away team is currently in the 17th position of the league, with 18 points won, after 3 wins, 9 draws and 10 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Werder Bremen, by (1‑1). In the last match, they won in a home match against Mainz 05, by (3‑2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in away matches, with 14 goals scored and 22 conceded; against 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 19 goals scored and 20 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Hoffenheim has a record of 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses, so they have won 7 points out of 30 possible.

      In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 7 away matches. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 1‑1 (4 out of 11 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 7 of the last 11 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 22 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 10 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 11 away matches for this competition there are 2 periods that stand out: they have scored 4 of their 9 goals between minutes (0'‑15'); they have conceded 6 of their 16 goals between minutes (61'‑75').

      After a good campaign last season, Hoffenheim has been doing a very bad campaign and has changed more than once the coach this season. The arrival of the coach Julian Nagelsmann this month seems to have helped the team, which has been playing a little better. However, this weekend they have a very difficult task to get follow up on the league table. For this match, Nagelsmann must have the absences of Kai Herdling and Tarik Elyounoussi, injured.

      Betting suggestion:

      With a well compacted team and with a very solid tactical strength, the home team figure, in this match, as the favorite to win and, the tendency is to meet this favoritism due to their tactical and technical superiority, thus winning the match. For this reason we believe a bet on BVB -0.5 Asian handicap in the first stage is of great value.

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      Stats » Bundesliga » Dortmund vs Hoffenheim