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Topic: Stoke City vs Aston Villa - Premier League Rnd.27 27/02/16 15:00  (Read 68 times)

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    Stats » Premier League England » Stoke City vs Aston Villa

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      Analysis: Stoke City vs Aston Villa (27 February 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: February 24 2016, 15:31 »

      Stoke City and Aston Villa face at Britannia Stadium, in a match for the 27ª round of the Premier League. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 03‑10‑2015, Stoke City got an away win by (0‑1). The head‑to‑head record at this stadium favours the away team, since in the last 4 head‑to‑heads they won 2, tied 1 and lost 1. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Premier League, on 16‑08‑2014, Aston Villa won by (0‑1). A. Weimann (50' ) scored the only goal of the match. Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

      Analysis of Stoke

      The home team is currently in the 10ª position of the league, with 36 points won, after 10 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against Everton, by (0‑3). In the last match, they won in an away match against o AFC Bournemouth, by (1‑3). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in away matches, with 15 goals scored and 16 conceded; against 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses at their stadium, with 16 goals scored and 15 conceded. For the league, Stoke City won 17 points out of 30 possible points, after 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 10 home matches.

      They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 26 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 11 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

      Stoke head into this matchup motivated after a 3-1 win against Bournemouth. Imbula, Afellay and Joselu scored the goals in the match. Adam, Wilson, Shay Given won't be able to play this match due to injuries. They are in bad recent phase and usually have problems being aggressive in their games. They show a lot of flaws in their creative process and crosses. So against a team that is very good on crosses, they might have a bad time.

      Analysis of Aston Villa

      The away team is currently in the 20ª position of the league, with 16 points won, after 3 wins, 7 draws and 16 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against o Norwich City, by (2‑0). In the last match, they lost in a home match against o Liverpool, by (0‑6). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 1 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in away matches, with 12 goals scored and 29 conceded; against 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses at their stadium, with 13 goals scored and 23 conceded. Their last away match for this competition ended in a loss by (2‑0) against o West Ham United. In the last 10 away league matches Aston Villa has a record of 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses, so they have won 3 points out of 30 possible.

      In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 12 away matches. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 1‑0 (5 out of 13 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. This is a team that has had a hard time trying to score first. They have opened up the score in only 6 of the last 26 matches for the Premier League, they have reached half‑time in front in 3 of those 6 matches and have held on to the lead in 3. In 26 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 18 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 13 away matches for this competition there are 1 periods that stand out: they have scored 6 of their 10 goals between minutes (61'‑75').

      Aston Villa get to this matchup with low motivation after a big home loss, 6-0 against Liverpool. Their biggest difficulty is protecting their leads, as they concede a lot of goals when they are in front. So they usually try to play a lot of men in their defense as a way to mask their flaws. Grealish, Sanchez, Kozak, Adama Traore and Amavi won't be able to play as they are hurt. Ayew is also out, with a suspension.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most probable scenario for this match is a Stoke win. They are playing at home, in front of their fans, their opponents have been really bad and have 14 matches without a win away from home. So we expect that the home team will take advantage of these factors and win the game.


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