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Topic: Athletic Club vs Olympique Marseille - UEFA Europa League 16th Finals 25/02/16 18:00  (Read 88 times)

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    2016-02-18
    15/16
    Marseille 0-1 Athletic Club



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    Stats » UEFA Europa League Europe » Athletic Club vs Olympique Marseille

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      Analysis: Athletic Club vs Olympique Marseille (25 February 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: February 22 2016, 19:29 »

      Athletic Bilbao and Olympique Marseille face at San Mamés Barria, in a 2nd leg match for the Liga Europa (16 avos de final), after the (0‑1) away win by Athletic Bilbao in the 1st leg match. Olympique Marseille registers significant differences between home and away results, so special attention is due to the home/away factor.

      Analysis of Athletic Club

      After the away win by (0‑1), the home team comes to this 2nd leg match with an advantage of 1 goals. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 21 goals scored and 22 conceded; against 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 35 goals scored and 16 conceded. In their last match, for the Primera División, they got a home loss against Real Sociedad by (0‑1). In the last 5 Liga Europa home matches o Athletic Bilbao has a record of 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses.

      In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 5 home matches. Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There are 1 periods that stand out in the last 20 home matches for all competitions: they have suffered 8 of their 19 goals between minutes (16'‑30').

      Athletic Bilbao gets into this game with low motivation after a 1-0 loss against Real Sociedad. However, it is important to highlight that they achieved a great win in the first match of this knockout round by winning 1-0 away from home. In this match, coach Ernesto Valverde should play in the usual 4-2-3-1 formation, looking for ball possession and short passes. In a few moments of the game, Bilbao should lower their defense and exploit more space in the counter attacks. Despite not scoring in the last match, Aduriz is still the team's top scorer with 25 goals. For this match, they will be without Etxebarria who is suspended and Ibai Gomez and Williams who are both hurt.

      Analysis of Marseille

      After the home loss in the 1st leg, the away team comes to this 2nd leg with a disadvantage of 1 goals and the hard task of having to come back from a negative result in an away match. This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 losses in away matches, with 25 goals scored and 13 conceded; against 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 16 goals scored and 17 conceded. In their last match, for the Ligue 1, they got a home tie against o Saint‑Étienne by (1‑1). In the last 10 away matches o Olympique Marseille has won 6, tied 3 and lost 1.

      Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 5 of the last 7 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 5 of the last 7 matches for this competition. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 5 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

      Marselha's side is going through some rough patches this season and they are currently with 3 matches without a win. In order to turn things around in this knockout match, it is expected for coach Michel to run a very offensive playing style, looking for space in counter attacks. It is important to highlight that Belgian Michy Batshuayi is the player with most goals, with 15. Dja Djedje, Ocampos and Anguissa will be out due to injuries.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most probable scenario for this match is the occurrence of a few goals. It is expected an evenly matched game, with Bilbao dominating most part and creating best scoring opportunities. So expecting two quality teams facing each other, we expect a small number of goals being scored.


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