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Topic: Málaga vs Real Madrid - Primera División Rnd.25 21/02/16 15:00  (Read 197 times)

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    Stats » Primera División Spain » Málaga vs Real Madrid

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    • Posts: 153902
      Analysis: Málaga vs Real Madrid (21 February 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: February 18 2016, 15:27 »

      Málaga and Real Madrid meet at Estadio La Rosaleda, in a match for the 25th round of the Primera División. These teams have tied (0‑0) in the last head‑to‑head for this edition of the league, played on 26‑09‑2015. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the away team, since they have a record of 4 wins and 1 loss in the last 5 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 29‑11‑2014, in a match for the Primera División, Real Madrid won by (1‑2). The goals of the match were scored by R. Santa Cruz (90' ), for Málaga, and by K. Benzema (18' ) and G. Bale (83' ), for Real Madrid. The home advantage may play an important role in this match , since Málaga presents significant differences between home and away results.

      Analysis of Málaga

      After 8 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses, the home team is in the 11th position, havinf won 30 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Villarreal by (1‑0), after in the previous match they have won (3‑0) at home, against Getafe. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in away matches; against 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses at their stadium. For the league, Málaga won 17 points out of 30 possible points, after 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 10 home matches. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 0‑0 (6 out of 11 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 5 of the last 11 matches for this competition have ended ended with Under 1,5 goals. In 24 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 12 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

      Malaga comes unmotivated for this match after an away home defeat, by 1-0, against Villarreal. The home team has already shown that can hold a positive result, when is the lead on the scoreboard. Furthermore, they’re a team that has many gaps in finishing, so that the can create a good number of opportunities. It’s foreseeable that Malaga will use, whenever possible, the left flank to create danger, taking advantage of the depth offered by the lateral Miguel Torres. The main absences in the home team are Atsu, Castro and Juan Carlos, all by injury.

      Analysis of Real Madrid

      The away team is currently in the 3rd position of the league, with 53 points won, after 16 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Granada, by (1‑2). In the last match, they won in a home match against Athletic Club, by (4‑2). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in away matches, with 29 goals scored and 17 conceded; against 13 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss at their stadium, with 57 goals scored and 12 conceded. In their last match, for the UEFA Champions League, they got an away win against Roma by (0‑2). In the last 10 away league matches Real Madrid has a record of 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 18 points out of 30 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑1 (4 out of 11 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. This is a team that likes to score first. They have opened up the score in 19 of the last 24 matches for the Primera División, they have reached half‑time in front in 16 of those 19 matches and have held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in 16 of them. In the last 11 away matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 8 of their 21 goals between minutes (16'‑30').

      Real Madrid comes motivated for this match after an away home win, by 0-2, against Rome, for the Champions League. Cristiano Ronaldo and Jesé scored the goals of triumph. Pepe and Bale won’t be able to contribute to the team because they are injured. The visiting team has very ease to create danger situations, and presents many players who can, at any time, to create an imbalance in the opposite defensive. However, they also reveal some defensive weaknesses. It’s likely that forward trio responsible for releasing the panic in the enemy’s area to be composed by Cristiano Ronaldo, Benzema and James Rodriguez.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario for this match will be Real Madrid to win. It’s true that the visiting team has some important absences; however, match a team that has fewer arguments and less individual quality. Thus, it’s foreseeable that Madrid will address their fans with three points.


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      Stats » Primera División » Málaga vs Real Madrid