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Topic: Ajax vs Excelsior - Eredivisie Rnd.24 21/02/16 13:30  (Read 93 times)

Offline Estatísticas

  • Posts: I am a geek!!
    Ajax vs Excelsior - Eredivisie Rnd.24 21/02/16 13:30
    « on: February 18 2016, 04:03 »
    The essentials for betting Full stats
    Timeline
    Head-to-Head in the last 3 years
    Date   Home   Away
    2015-09-20
    15/16
    Excelsior 0-2 Ajax
    2015-03-08
    14/15
    Ajax 1-0 Excelsior
    2014-12-21
    14/15
    Excelsior 0-2 Ajax
    [ Show all games ]



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    • ftvieira (62º) +413% profit on the 30 day market
      Back @ 1.69 Under 3.5 Goals

      Market: Over/Under 3.5 Goals

      +69.00%
      100%
    • StrikerOdds (2578º) +1865% profit on the 30 day market
      Back @ 1.18 Ajax

      Market: Match Odds

      +18.00%
      100%
    • ppdpls (3843º) +862% profit on the 30 day market
      Back @ 1.55 Over 2.5 Goals

      Market: Over/Under 2.5 goals

      +55.00%
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    • SAM2015 (4006º) +88% comp+market profit on the 30 day market
      Back @ 1.19 Over 1.5 Goals

      Market: Over/Under 1.5 Goals

      +19.00%
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    • SAM2015 (4006º) +2221% profit on the 30 day market
      Back @ 1.21 Ajax

      Market: Match Odds

      +21.00%
      100%
    • psslucena (4291º) +1251% profit on the 30 day market
      Back @ 1.55 Over 2.5 Goals

      Market: Over/Under 2.5 goals

      +55.00%
      100%
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    Stats » Eredivisie Netherlands » Ajax vs Excelsior

    Offline Academia

    • Posts: 152795
      Analysis: Ajax vs Excelsior (21 February 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: February 19 2016, 15:20 »

      Ajax and Excelsior meet at Johan Cruijff Arena, in a match for the 24th round of the Eredivisie. Ajax got an away win by (0‑2), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 20‑09‑2015. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 3 head‑to‑heads they won 3. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Eredivisie, on 08‑03‑2015, Ajax won by (1‑0). A. El Ghazi (83' ) scored the only goal of the match. Excelsior registers significant differences between home and away results, so special attention is due to the home/away factor.

      Analysis of Ajax

      After 17 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, the home team is in the 2nd position, havinf won 55 points so far. In the last match, they have won in an away match against Groningen by (1‑2), after in the previous match they have won (2‑1) at home, against Feyenoord. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in away matches, with 23 goals scored and 13 conceded; against 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 34 goals scored and 10 conceded. In the last 10 home league matches Ajax has a record of 8 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, so they have won 25 points out of 30 possible.

      In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 7 home matches. Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 8 of the last 11 for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. They have conceded the first goal in 6 of their 23 matches for this competition, but have been able to turn the score around in 2. In the last 11 home matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 11 of their 31 goals between minutes (16'‑30').

      Here we have one of the best teams in the league, if not the best. Recently they lost their first place and the fight now is to be able to recover any way. Their victories path ended up being interrupted by two draws but then the wins reappeared and two of them put the team again near the leader.
       
      Against the opponent of this match, the team just won the last six times they match and, in the last 3 matches they didn’t concede any goal.
       
      For this match, the absences are: Kenny Tete, Jairo Riedewald and Mike van der Hoorn.

      Analysis of Excelsior

      The away team is currently in the 16th position of the league, with 19 points won, after 4 wins, 7 draws and 12 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against Willem II, by (0‑0). In the last match, they lost in a home match against ADO Den Haag, by (2‑4). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 17 goals scored and 23 conceded; against 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses at their stadium, with 20 goals scored and 31 conceded. Their last away match for this competition ended in a draw by (0‑0) against Vitesse. In the last 10 away league matches Excelsior has a record of 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 10 points out of 30 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (6 out of 11 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. This is a team that has had a hard time trying to score first. They have opened up the score in only 4 of the last 23 matches for the Eredivisie, they have reached half‑time in front in 2 of those 4 matches and have held on to the lead in 2. In 23 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 16 times and have only turned the score around in 2.

      It’s not easy to be the Excelsior. This team fights from the beginning for better positions and will trying to survive at all costs in the elite division of their country but with a squad of few options and always suffering from injury coming complicated to match more traditional and quality teams as is the case of this match.
       
      The visitors didn’t win a match for 11 matches.
       
      The team is confirmed in 4-3-3 and will have the following absences: Jurgen Mattheij, Alessandro Damen and Filip Kurto.

      Betting suggestion:

      This is the famous match between David and Goliath, the result we don’t know whether it will be as the story goes but, certainly, we have a quality about 5 times greater in the home team than their opponent.
       
      We believe that Ajax will win this match even in an easier and quiet way. It has been easy and routine for the home team to beat smaller teams and, our bet will be on Handicap Ajax.


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