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Topic: Sevilla vs Molde - UEFA Europa League 16th Finals 18/02/16 18:00  (Read 90 times)

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    Stats » UEFA Europa League Europe » Sevilla vs Molde

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      Analysis: Sevilla vs Molde (18 February 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: February 15 2016, 22:19 »

      Sevilla and Molde face at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, in a match for this stage of the UEFA Europa League (16th Finals). These two teams have never met before, so this will be the first head‑to‑head between them. Sevilla registers significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth special attention.

      Analysis of Sevilla

      The home team plays its first match in this edition of the UEFA Europa League with the intention of using the home advantage to get a positive result. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 18 goals scored and 19 conceded; against 14 wins and 1 loss at their stadium, with 36 goals scored and 7 conceded. In their last match, for the Primera División, they got a home win against Las Palmas by (2‑0). In the last 10 home matches Sevilla has won 10. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, as 28 of the last 32 have ended with Over 1,5 goals.

      Sevilla makes it to the knockout stage in excellent form, since the team is unbeaten in the last 12 games considering Copa do Rei and the Spanish League. During that span, the team won 10 games and had 2 draws, scoring 27 goals and conceding only 5. In these 12 matches, the team failed to score in only one of them and gave away goals in only 4, showing that the excellent form runs through the offense and the defense. The last time they played, in the Spanish League, they beat Las Palmas by 2-0, but found some trouble trying to break the many defenders the opponent had. They only managed to score with Banega and Gameiro in the final 20 minutes of the game. For his Thursday's game, coach Unai Emery won't have available to play Grzegorz Krychowiak, Marco Andreolli and Nicolas Pareja, all recovering from injuries.

      Analysis of Molde

      The away team comes to this stage of the UEFA Europa League (16th Finals) after having finished the group stage in the 1st position of Group A, with 11 points won. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 21 goals scored and 21 conceded; against 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 29 goals scored and 16 conceded. In their last match, for the Club Friendlies, they got a home loss against IFK Göteborg by (1‑2). Their last away match was for the Club Friendlies and ended in a loss by (1‑0) against Kristiansund. In the last 4 UEFA Europa League away matches Molde has a record of 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 8 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 8 matches for this competition.

      Molde hasn't played an official match since January 24th, when they tied Ajax playing away from home. That was the game in which they assured te spot to the knockout stage to face Sevilla. Since then, there have been 4 friendly matches and 4 losses, against Kristiansund away from home, Krylya Sovetov, Solna and Gotemborg at home. Considering friendly matches and Europa League, the team hasn't won in the last 7 matches, with 6 losses and 1 draw. During those matches, they conceded 12 goals and scored only 5. They conceded goals in all 7 matches and only scored in 5 of them. For this game against Sevilla coach Ole Gunnar Solskjaer will be able to play again with left back Rindaroy who served automatic suspension in the previous match and is cleared to return.

      Betting suggestion:

      This should a match in which Sevilla wins without much trouble. We have a team in great form, who hasn't lost in 12 matches and has been scoring lots and lots of goals. On the other side of the pitch, there will be a team that had a surprising campaign in the group stage but have been playing very poorly since and shouldn't be able to keep up with the Spanish side. With all of these facts in mind, we believe that Sevilla will win by at least 2 goals.

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