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Topic: Borussia Dortmund vs Porto - UEFA Europa League 16th Finals 18/02/16 18:00  (Read 96 times)

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    Stats » UEFA Europa League Europe » Borussia Dortmund vs Porto

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      Analysis: Borussia Dortmund vs Porto (18 February 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: February 16 2016, 08:32 »

      Borussia Dortmund and Porto face at Signal‑Iduna‑Park, in a match for this stage of the UEFA Europa League (16th Finals). These two teams have never met before, so this will be the first head‑to‑head between them.

      Analysis of Dortmund

      The home team got access to this stage of the UEFA Europa League (16th Finals) after having finished the group stage in the 2nd position of Group C, with 10 points won. In their last match, for the Bundesliga, they got a home win against Hannover 96 by (1‑0). In the last 5 UEFA Europa League home matches Borussia Dortmund has a record of 4 wins and 1 loss. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 24 of the last 28 have ended with Over 1,5 goals and 19 out of 28 have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 10 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 6 times, but have turned the score around in 3.

      Borussia Dortmund comes motivated for this match after two victories won in official matches. The team no longer loses for five consecutive matches. In this first leg the coach Thomas Tuchel will operate in the usual 4-3-3 favoring the ball possession and the paused attacks. Sometimes in the match Dortmund must down the block in order to take advantage of the space on the opponent’s back. Back at the eleven is the best scorer Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang after a stop due to injury. The player of Gabon has 30 scored goals. Sven Bender and Nuri Sahin are still recovering from injury.

      Analysis of Porto

      The team plays its first match in this edition of the UEFA Europa League with the intention of getting a positive away result. In their last match, for the Primeira Liga, they got an away win against Benfica by (1‑2). In the last 10 away matches Porto has won 6 and lost 4. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have only turned the score around in 2.

      Despite being in a bad moment, FC Porto comes really motivated for this match after the triumph achieved, away home, against Benfica, by 1-2. However, in this match the coach José Peseiro won’t count on a few major players in the tactical scheme. Maxi Pereira and Danilo Pereira are suspended, Marcano is injured, and Chidozie, the star in the last match, will be absent because he isn’t registered. So, the coach must choose to put on the field the young Verdasca in the center of the defensive sector. As this is a first leg, FC Porto must be provided with a strategy based on the counterattack. Still recovering from injury continues Spaniard Alberto Bueno.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario in this match will be the occurrence of more goals in the second 45'. It’s normal that this match will be relatively quiet in the first half once that the two teams will take the field with some defensive caution. However, it’s predictable that in the second half the match will open more and Dortmund will look for the goal in order to gain advantage in this first leg. An open match doesn’t matter for Porto once that a goalless draw would be a good result.

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